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美国将持有哪些公司的股份?

Market icon

美国将持有哪些公司的股份?

$16,562 交易量

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$16,562 交易量

Polymarket

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The US Department of Commerce holds authority under the 2022 CHIPS and Science Act to negotiate minority equity stakes—typically up to 10%—in semiconductor companies receiving federal grants aimed at expanding domestic manufacturing capacity amid national security concerns over China reliance. Recent multibillion-dollar awards to Intel ($7.86 billion), TSMC's Arizona facility ($6.6 billion), and Micron ($6.1 billion) have prioritized grants and loans without confirmed equity components, though Secretary Raimondo has signaled willingness for such arrangements to safeguard taxpayer investments. No new stakes announced in the past 30 days, but ongoing negotiations for the remaining $39 billion in direct funding could yield deals by year-end, with trader sentiment focused on strategic firms like GlobalFoundries or smaller fabs facing production hurdles.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.

An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$16,562
结束日期
Dec 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The US Department of Commerce holds authority under the 2022 CHIPS and Science Act to negotiate minority equity stakes—typically up to 10%—in semiconductor companies receiving federal grants aimed at expanding domestic manufacturing capacity amid national security concerns over China reliance. Recent multibillion-dollar awards to Intel ($7.86 billion), TSMC's Arizona facility ($6.6 billion), and Micron ($6.1 billion) have prioritized grants and loans without confirmed equity components, though Secretary Raimondo has signaled willingness for such arrangements to safeguard taxpayer investments. No new stakes announced in the past 30 days, but ongoing negotiations for the remaining $39 billion in direct funding could yield deals by year-end, with trader sentiment focused on strategic firms like GlobalFoundries or smaller fabs facing production hurdles.

The US Department of Commerce holds authority under the 2022 CHIPS and Science Act to negotiate minority equity stakes—typically up to 10%—in semiconductor companies receiving federal grants aimed at expanding domestic manufacturing capacity amid national security concerns over China reliance. Recent multibillion-dollar awards to Intel ($7.86 billion), TSMC's Arizona facility ($6.6 billion), and Micron ($6.1 billion) have prioritized grants and loans without confirmed equity components, though Secretary Raimondo has signaled willingness for such arrangements to safeguard taxpayer investments. No new stakes announced in the past 30 days, but ongoing negotiations for the remaining $39 billion in direct funding could yield deals by year-end, with trader sentiment focused on strategic firms like GlobalFoundries or smaller fabs facing production hurdles.

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常见问题

"美国将持有哪些公司的股份?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 18 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"洛克希德·马丁",概率为 39%,其次是"波音",概率为 38%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 39¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 39%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"美国将持有哪些公司的股份?"已产生 $16.6K 的总交易量(自Feb 3, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"美国将持有哪些公司的股份?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 18 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"美国将持有哪些公司的股份?"的当前领先者是"洛克希德·马丁",概率为 39%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 39%。紧随其后的结果是"波音",概率为 38%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"美国将持有哪些公司的股份?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。