Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 73.5% in Washington's 5th Congressional District House race, reflecting the R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Michael Baumgartner's advantages following his 2024 general election win over Democrat Carmela Conroy. His March 30 re-election campaign launch emphasized a fundraising head start, reinforcing perceptions of a solid hold in this eastern Washington battleground. Early challengers, including a Spokane firefighter, have filed amid a crowded primary field, but no recent polls indicate Democratic contention, with critics focusing on Baumgartner's SAVE Act vote for voter ID requirements. The top-two primary on August 4 and filing deadline May 8 loom as key tests before the November 3 general.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
74%
民主党
25%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,693 交易量
74%
民主党
$3,055 交易量
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 73.5% in Washington's 5th Congressional District House race, reflecting the R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Michael Baumgartner's advantages following his 2024 general election win over Democrat Carmela Conroy. His March 30 re-election campaign launch emphasized a fundraising head start, reinforcing perceptions of a solid hold in this eastern Washington battleground. Early challengers, including a Spokane firefighter, have filed amid a crowded primary field, but no recent polls indicate Democratic contention, with critics focusing on Baumgartner's SAVE Act vote for voter ID requirements. The top-two primary on August 4 and filing deadline May 8 loom as key tests before the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$5,748结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 73.5% in Washington's 5th Congressional District House race, reflecting the R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Michael Baumgartner's advantages following his 2024 general election win over Democrat Carmela Conroy. His March 30 re-election campaign launch emphasized a fundraising head start, reinforcing perceptions of a solid hold in this eastern Washington battleground. Early challengers, including a Spokane firefighter, have filed amid a crowded primary field, but no recent polls indicate Democratic contention, with critics focusing on Baumgartner's SAVE Act vote for voter ID requirements. The top-two primary on August 4 and filing deadline May 8 loom as key tests before the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,748结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 73.5% in Washington's 5th Congressional District House race, reflecting the R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Michael Baumgartner's advantages following his 2024 general election win over Democrat Carmela Conroy. His March 30 re-election campaign launch emphasized a fundraising head start, reinforcing perceptions of a solid hold in this eastern Washington battleground. Early challengers, including a Spokane firefighter, have filed amid a crowded primary field, but no recent polls indicate Democratic contention, with critics focusing on Baumgartner's SAVE Act vote for voter ID requirements. The top-two primary on August 4 and filing deadline May 8 loom as key tests before the November 3 general.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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