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委内瑞拉总统选举定于... ?

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委内瑞拉总统选举定于... ?

$500,533 交易量

2026-03-31
Polymarket

$500,533 交易量

Polymarket

12月31日

$8,331 交易量

46%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Nicolás Maduro's capture by U.S. forces on January 3, 2026, and extradition to face charges, Vice President Delcy Rodríguez was sworn in as acting president by the Supreme Tribunal of Justice, classifying it as a temporary absence with no presidential election date scheduled under the 1999 Constitution's six-year term provisions. In recent weeks, opposition leader María Corina Machado announced her return to Venezuela and shift toward preparing for new elections, estimating feasibility in under a year with voter roll cleanup and electoral guarantees via the National Electoral Council. Acting President Rodríguez pledged free and fair polls contingent on political dialogue and sanctions relief, while National Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez emphasized stability over an immediate vote. Traders weigh ongoing U.S.-overseen transition phases, institutional reforms, and potential assembly decisions amid constitutional vacancy timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$500,533
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Nicolás Maduro's capture by U.S. forces on January 3, 2026, and extradition to face charges, Vice President Delcy Rodríguez was sworn in as acting president by the Supreme Tribunal of Justice, classifying it as a temporary absence with no presidential election date scheduled under the 1999 Constitution's six-year term provisions. In recent weeks, opposition leader María Corina Machado announced her return to Venezuela and shift toward preparing for new elections, estimating feasibility in under a year with voter roll cleanup and electoral guarantees via the National Electoral Council. Acting President Rodríguez pledged free and fair polls contingent on political dialogue and sanctions relief, while National Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez emphasized stability over an immediate vote. Traders weigh ongoing U.S.-overseen transition phases, institutional reforms, and potential assembly decisions amid constitutional vacancy timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$500,533
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"委内瑞拉总统选举定于... ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"12月31日",概率为 46%,其次是"1月31日",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 46¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 46%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"委内瑞拉总统选举定于... ?"已产生 $500.5K 的总交易量(自Jan 3, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"委内瑞拉总统选举定于... ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"委内瑞拉总统选举定于... ?"的当前领先者是"12月31日",概率为 46%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 46%。紧随其后的结果是"1月31日",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"委内瑞拉总统选举定于... ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。