Court-ordered redistricting has shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district substantially leftward by concentrating Salt Lake City and surrounding Democratic-leaning areas, creating an open seat with no incumbent after Blake Moore moved to the 2nd district. This structural change produces a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by double digits and underpins the current trader consensus on Democratic Party victory. Republican nominee Riley Owen faces the new map in the November 3, 2026 general election, while Democratic primary contenders including Nate Blouin and Ben McAdams compete on June 23. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, consistent with historical results in similarly redrawn districts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,231 交易量
$27,231 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
81%
共和党
14%
$27,231 交易量
$27,231 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
$1,450 交易量
81%
共和党
$25,782 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Court-ordered redistricting has shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district substantially leftward by concentrating Salt Lake City and surrounding Democratic-leaning areas, creating an open seat with no incumbent after Blake Moore moved to the 2nd district. This structural change produces a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by double digits and underpins the current trader consensus on Democratic Party victory. Republican nominee Riley Owen faces the new map in the November 3, 2026 general election, while Democratic primary contenders including Nate Blouin and Ben McAdams compete on June 23. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, consistent with historical results in similarly redrawn districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$27,231结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Court-ordered redistricting has shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district substantially leftward by concentrating Salt Lake City and surrounding Democratic-leaning areas, creating an open seat with no incumbent after Blake Moore moved to the 2nd district. This structural change produces a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by double digits and underpins the current trader consensus on Democratic Party victory. Republican nominee Riley Owen faces the new map in the November 3, 2026 general election, while Democratic primary contenders including Nate Blouin and Ben McAdams compete on June 23. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, consistent with historical results in similarly redrawn districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,231结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Court-ordered redistricting has shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district substantially leftward by concentrating Salt Lake City and surrounding Democratic-leaning areas, creating an open seat with no incumbent after Blake Moore moved to the 2nd district. This structural change produces a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by double digits and underpins the current trader consensus on Democratic Party victory. Republican nominee Riley Owen faces the new map in the November 3, 2026 general election, while Democratic primary contenders including Nate Blouin and Ben McAdams compete on June 23. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, consistent with historical results in similarly redrawn districts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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