US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 76%
February 13 2.1%
February 7 1.9%
February 14 1.8%
$5,285,309 交易量
$5,285,309 交易量
February 1
$889,733 交易量
<1%
February 1
$889,733 交易量
<1%
February 2
$390,948 交易量
<1%
February 2
$390,948 交易量
<1%
February 3
$299,960 交易量
<1%
February 3
$299,960 交易量
<1%
February 4
$202,052 交易量
1%
February 4
$202,052 交易量
1%
February 5
$162,702 交易量
1%
February 5
$162,702 交易量
1%
February 6
$179,220 交易量
2%
February 6
$179,220 交易量
2%
February 7
$135,097 交易量
2%
February 7
$135,097 交易量
2%
February 8
$147,072 交易量
1%
February 8
$147,072 交易量
1%
February 9
$125,559 交易量
1%
February 9
$125,559 交易量
1%
February 10
$120,346 交易量
1%
February 10
$120,346 交易量
1%
February 11
$122,268 交易量
1%
February 11
$122,268 交易量
1%
February 12
$103,448 交易量
1%
February 12
$103,448 交易量
1%
February 13
$156,288 交易量
2%
February 13
$156,288 交易量
2%
February 14
$109,721 交易量
2%
February 14
$109,721 交易量
2%
February 15
$122,803 交易量
1%
February 15
$122,803 交易量
1%
February 16
$111,743 交易量
1%
February 16
$111,743 交易量
1%
February 17
$127,386 交易量
1%
February 17
$127,386 交易量
1%
February 18
$121,224 交易量
1%
February 18
$121,224 交易量
1%
February 19
$123,473 交易量
1%
February 19
$123,473 交易量
1%
February 20
$98,224 交易量
1%
February 20
$98,224 交易量
1%
February 21
$103,013 交易量
1%
February 21
$103,013 交易量
1%
February 22
$117,429 交易量
1%
February 22
$117,429 交易量
1%
February 23
$117,702 交易量
1%
February 23
$117,702 交易量
1%
February 24
$125,814 交易量
1%
February 24
$125,814 交易量
1%
February 25
$123,426 交易量
1%
February 25
$123,426 交易量
1%
February 26
$145,514 交易量
1%
February 26
$145,514 交易量
1%
February 27
$123,868 交易量
2%
February 27
$123,868 交易量
2%
February 28
$135,523 交易量
2%
February 28
$135,523 交易量
2%
No strike by February 28
$179,112 交易量
76%
No strike by February 28
$179,112 交易量
76%
规则
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by February 28," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
创建时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 76%
February 13 2.1%
February 7 1.9%
February 14 1.8%
$5,285,309 交易量
$5,285,309 交易量
February 1
<1%
February 2
<1%
February 3
<1%
February 4
1%
February 5
1%
February 6
2%
February 7
2%
February 8
1%
February 9
1%
February 10
1%
February 11
1%
February 12
1%
February 13
2%
February 14
2%
February 15
1%
February 16
1%
February 17
1%
February 18
1%
February 19
1%
February 20
1%
February 21
1%
February 22
1%
February 23
1%
February 24
1%
February 25
1%
February 26
1%
February 27
2%
February 28
2%
No strike by February 28
76%
关于
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。