Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.3% for Iran claiming responsibility for the March 7 explosion outside the US Embassy in Oslo, driven by the absence of any official statement from Tehran despite three weeks of elapsed time amid heightened US-Iran tensions from airstrikes and retaliatory actions. Norwegian police swiftly arrested three Norwegian brothers of Iraqi origin—plus their mother—charging them with terrorist bombing, pointing to potential independent actors inspired by the conflict rather than state-directed proxies. Iran's pattern in past operations favors prompt claims via government, IRGC, or allies if involved, making a late admission improbable without new evidence linking the low-impact incident. Scenarios like an unforeseen diplomatic escalation or leaked intelligence could shift odds, though investigations continue without Iranian ties confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$303,668 交易量
$303,668 交易量
是
$303,668 交易量
$303,668 交易量
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.3% for Iran claiming responsibility for the March 7 explosion outside the US Embassy in Oslo, driven by the absence of any official statement from Tehran despite three weeks of elapsed time amid heightened US-Iran tensions from airstrikes and retaliatory actions. Norwegian police swiftly arrested three Norwegian brothers of Iraqi origin—plus their mother—charging them with terrorist bombing, pointing to potential independent actors inspired by the conflict rather than state-directed proxies. Iran's pattern in past operations favors prompt claims via government, IRGC, or allies if involved, making a late admission improbable without new evidence linking the low-impact incident. Scenarios like an unforeseen diplomatic escalation or leaked intelligence could shift odds, though investigations continue without Iranian ties confirmed.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 7, 2026, 9:27 PM ET
交易量
$303,668市场开放时间
Mar 7, 2026, 9:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.3% for Iran claiming responsibility for the March 7 explosion outside the US Embassy in Oslo, driven by the absence of any official statement from Tehran despite three weeks of elapsed time amid heightened US-Iran tensions from airstrikes and retaliatory actions. Norwegian police swiftly arrested three Norwegian brothers of Iraqi origin—plus their mother—charging them with terrorist bombing, pointing to potential independent actors inspired by the conflict rather than state-directed proxies. Iran's pattern in past operations favors prompt claims via government, IRGC, or allies if involved, making a late admission improbable without new evidence linking the low-impact incident. Scenarios like an unforeseen diplomatic escalation or leaked intelligence could shift odds, though investigations continue without Iranian ties confirmed.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$303,668市场开放时间
Mar 7, 2026, 9:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.3% for Iran claiming responsibility for the March 7 explosion outside the US Embassy in Oslo, driven by the absence of any official statement from Tehran despite three weeks of elapsed time amid heightened US-Iran tensions from airstrikes and retaliatory actions. Norwegian police swiftly arrested three Norwegian brothers of Iraqi origin—plus their mother—charging them with terrorist bombing, pointing to potential independent actors inspired by the conflict rather than state-directed proxies. Iran's pattern in past operations favors prompt claims via government, IRGC, or allies if involved, making a late admission improbable without new evidence linking the low-impact incident. Scenarios like an unforeseen diplomatic escalation or leaked intelligence could shift odds, though investigations continue without Iranian ties confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题