Amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death and his son Mojtaba Khamenei's installation as Supreme Leader in early March 2026, President Trump has repeatedly signaled no direct contact with Mojtaba, whom he deems an "unacceptable" and potentially injured figure unfit for leadership, while claiming U.S. envoys like Steve Witkoff are negotiating with Iran's "real leader" on nuclear curbs, ceasefires, and Strait of Hormuz security. Trump's maximum pressure strategy, including military positioning and reported airstrikes harder than any since World War II, has yielded indirect talks but no verified Trump-Mojtaba conversation, amid uncertainty over Mojtaba's health and legitimacy. Traders weigh low odds against potential diplomatic breakthroughs or escalations before the market deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$283,041 交易量
2026-04-30
4月30日
3%
6月30日
8%
$283,041 交易量
4月30日
$26,199 交易量
3%
6月30日
$10,113 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death and his son Mojtaba Khamenei's installation as Supreme Leader in early March 2026, President Trump has repeatedly signaled no direct contact with Mojtaba, whom he deems an "unacceptable" and potentially injured figure unfit for leadership, while claiming U.S. envoys like Steve Witkoff are negotiating with Iran's "real leader" on nuclear curbs, ceasefires, and Strait of Hormuz security. Trump's maximum pressure strategy, including military positioning and reported airstrikes harder than any since World War II, has yielded indirect talks but no verified Trump-Mojtaba conversation, amid uncertainty over Mojtaba's health and legitimacy. Traders weigh low odds against potential diplomatic breakthroughs or escalations before the market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
交易量
$283,041结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death and his son Mojtaba Khamenei's installation as Supreme Leader in early March 2026, President Trump has repeatedly signaled no direct contact with Mojtaba, whom he deems an "unacceptable" and potentially injured figure unfit for leadership, while claiming U.S. envoys like Steve Witkoff are negotiating with Iran's "real leader" on nuclear curbs, ceasefires, and Strait of Hormuz security. Trump's maximum pressure strategy, including military positioning and reported airstrikes harder than any since World War II, has yielded indirect talks but no verified Trump-Mojtaba conversation, amid uncertainty over Mojtaba's health and legitimacy. Traders weigh low odds against potential diplomatic breakthroughs or escalations before the market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$283,041结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death and his son Mojtaba Khamenei's installation as Supreme Leader in early March 2026, President Trump has repeatedly signaled no direct contact with Mojtaba, whom he deems an "unacceptable" and potentially injured figure unfit for leadership, while claiming U.S. envoys like Steve Witkoff are negotiating with Iran's "real leader" on nuclear curbs, ceasefires, and Strait of Hormuz security. Trump's maximum pressure strategy, including military positioning and reported airstrikes harder than any since World War II, has yielded indirect talks but no verified Trump-Mojtaba conversation, amid uncertainty over Mojtaba's health and legitimacy. Traders weigh low odds against potential diplomatic breakthroughs or escalations before the market deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题