Market icon

特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈?

Market icon

特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈?

$286,443 交易量

2026-04-30
Polymarket

$286,443 交易量

Polymarket

4月30日

$28,469 交易量

2%

6月30日

$11,245 交易量

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating US-Iran conflict following US-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in early March 2026, his son Mojtaba was swiftly appointed successor on March 8, prompting President Trump's public criticism and insistence on US involvement in Iran's leadership transition. Trump has repeatedly denied direct contact with Mojtaba Khamenei, stating as recently as March 26 that he is unsure if the new leader is alive amid ongoing airstrikes and military operations, while confirming lower-level negotiations with Iranian officials but excluding the supreme leader. No verified communications have surfaced, with trader consensus reflecting war tensions and Trump's maximum pressure foreign policy, potentially shifting on ceasefire talks or regime developments before the April 30 resolution deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$286,443
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating US-Iran conflict following US-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in early March 2026, his son Mojtaba was swiftly appointed successor on March 8, prompting President Trump's public criticism and insistence on US involvement in Iran's leadership transition. Trump has repeatedly denied direct contact with Mojtaba Khamenei, stating as recently as March 26 that he is unsure if the new leader is alive amid ongoing airstrikes and military operations, while confirming lower-level negotiations with Iranian officials but excluding the supreme leader. No verified communications have surfaced, with trader consensus reflecting war tensions and Trump's maximum pressure foreign policy, potentially shifting on ceasefire talks or regime developments before the April 30 resolution deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$286,443
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"6月30日",概率为 7%,其次是"4月30日",概率为 2%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 7¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 7%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈?"已产生 $286.4K 的总交易量(自Mar 11, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈?"的当前领先者是"6月30日",仅有 7%,"4月30日"紧随其后为 2%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。