Norwegian police arrested three Norwegian brothers of Iraqi origin on March 11 for the March 8 explosion outside the US embassy in Oslo, classifying it as a terror bombing with intent to kill or cause major damage, though no injuries occurred; their mother was later detained as well. Despite the incident occurring amid heightened US-Iran tensions from ongoing airstrikes and proxy threats, no public evidence has linked the suspects to Tehran, and over three weeks have passed without any US official accusation via State Department statements, White House briefings, or intelligence releases. Trader consensus at 100% "No" reflects this evidentiary gap and elapsed timeline, though late-breaking intelligence tying the perpetrators to Iranian proxies could prompt a reversal before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$440,910 交易量
$440,910 交易量
是
$440,910 交易量
$440,910 交易量
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government explicitly claims Iran is responsible for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.
Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.
The primary resolution source will be official government statements.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government. Norwegian police arrested three Norwegian brothers of Iraqi origin on March 11 for the March 8 explosion outside the US embassy in Oslo, classifying it as a terror bombing with intent to kill or cause major damage, though no injuries occurred; their mother was later detained as well. Despite the incident occurring amid heightened US-Iran tensions from ongoing airstrikes and proxy threats, no public evidence has linked the suspects to Tehran, and over three weeks have passed without any US official accusation via State Department statements, White House briefings, or intelligence releases. Trader consensus at 100% "No" reflects this evidentiary gap and elapsed timeline, though late-breaking intelligence tying the perpetrators to Iranian proxies could prompt a reversal before market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government explicitly claims Iran is responsible for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.
Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.
The primary resolution source will be official government statements.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government.
Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.
Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.
The primary resolution source will be official government statements.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government.
市场开放时间： Mar 7, 2026, 9:38 PM ET
交易量
$440,910市场开放时间
Mar 7, 2026, 9:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government explicitly claims Iran is responsible for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.
Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.
The primary resolution source will be official government statements.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government. Norwegian police arrested three Norwegian brothers of Iraqi origin on March 11 for the March 8 explosion outside the US embassy in Oslo, classifying it as a terror bombing with intent to kill or cause major damage, though no injuries occurred; their mother was later detained as well. Despite the incident occurring amid heightened US-Iran tensions from ongoing airstrikes and proxy threats, no public evidence has linked the suspects to Tehran, and over three weeks have passed without any US official accusation via State Department statements, White House briefings, or intelligence releases. Trader consensus at 100% "No" reflects this evidentiary gap and elapsed timeline, though late-breaking intelligence tying the perpetrators to Iranian proxies could prompt a reversal before market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government explicitly claims Iran is responsible for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.
Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.
The primary resolution source will be official government statements.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government.
Claims can come from statements by the U.S. government, military, or intelligence services.
Official confirmation requires an on-the-record public statement issued by the U.S. government, through an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that Iran carried out the attack.
The primary resolution source will be official government statements.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government.
交易量
$440,910市场开放时间
Mar 7, 2026, 9:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Norwegian police arrested three Norwegian brothers of Iraqi origin on March 11 for the March 8 explosion outside the US embassy in Oslo, classifying it as a terror bombing with intent to kill or cause major damage, though no injuries occurred; their mother was later detained as well. Despite the incident occurring amid heightened US-Iran tensions from ongoing airstrikes and proxy threats, no public evidence has linked the suspects to Tehran, and over three weeks have passed without any US official accusation via State Department statements, White House briefings, or intelligence releases. Trader consensus at 100% "No" reflects this evidentiary gap and elapsed timeline, though late-breaking intelligence tying the perpetrators to Iranian proxies could prompt a reversal before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题