2月28日 99.8%
2026年1月 <1%
2月1日 <1%
2月2日 <1%
$56,607,534 交易量
$56,607,534 交易量
Feb 28, 2026
2026年1月
否
2月1日
否
2月2日
否
2月3日
否
2月4日
否
2月5日
否
2月6日
否
2月7日
否
2月8日
否
2月9日
否
2月10日
否
2月11日
否
2月12日
否
2月13日
否
2月14日
否
2月15日
否
2月16日
否
2月17日
否
2月18日
否
2月19日
否
2月20日
否
2月21日
否
2月22日
否
2月23日
否
2月24日
否
2月25日
否
2月26日
否
2月27日
否
2月28日
是
截至2月28日没有打击
否
2月28日 99.8%
2026年1月 <1%
2月1日 <1%
2月2日 <1%
$56,607,534 交易量
$56,607,534 交易量
Feb 28, 2026
2026年1月
$264,639 交易量
否
2月1日
$891,599 交易量
否
2月2日
$489,907 交易量
否
2月3日
$463,964 交易量
否
2月4日
$999,005 交易量
否
2月5日
$501,897 交易量
否
2月6日
$576,956 交易量
否
2月7日
$648,794 交易量
否
2月8日
$2,612,755 交易量
否
2月9日
$3,494,378 交易量
否
2月10日
$2,824,909 交易量
否
2月11日
$2,583,817 交易量
否
2月12日
$1,154,654 交易量
否
2月13日
$1,200,923 交易量
否
2月14日
$1,111,982 交易量
否
2月15日
$920,532 交易量
否
2月16日
$889,918 交易量
否
2月17日
$1,489,119 交易量
否
2月18日
$1,489,594 交易量
否
2月19日
$1,876,861 交易量
否
2月20日
$2,202,132 交易量
否
2月21日
$1,861,684 交易量
否
2月22日
$3,010,314 交易量
否
2月23日
$2,264,918 交易量
否
2月24日
$2,299,930 交易量
否
2月25日
$2,565,929 交易量
否
2月26日
$3,013,510 交易量
否
2月27日
$4,604,644 交易量
否
2月28日
$5,837,357 交易量
是
截至2月28日没有打击
$2,460,912 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and February 28, 2026, (ET).
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by February 28," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and February 28, 2026, (ET).
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by February 28," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by February 28," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
交易量
$56,607,534结束日期
Feb 28, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否

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