US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 41%
February 1 8.1%
January 2026 8%
February 7 4.8%
$1,206,921 交易量
$1,206,921 交易量
January 2026
$62,158 交易量
8%
January 2026
$62,158 交易量
8%
February 1
$83,517 交易量
8%
February 1
$83,517 交易量
8%
February 2
$39,505 交易量
3%
February 2
$39,505 交易量
3%
February 3
$35,032 交易量
2%
February 3
$35,032 交易量
2%
February 4
$42,050 交易量
3%
February 4
$42,050 交易量
3%
February 5
$33,790 交易量
2%
February 5
$33,790 交易量
2%
February 6
$52,369 交易量
4%
February 6
$52,369 交易量
4%
February 7
$31,639 交易量
5%
February 7
$31,639 交易量
5%
February 8
$31,890 交易量
3%
February 8
$31,890 交易量
3%
February 9
$33,836 交易量
2%
February 9
$33,836 交易量
2%
February 10
$31,687 交易量
2%
February 10
$31,687 交易量
2%
February 11
$28,375 交易量
2%
February 11
$28,375 交易量
2%
February 12
$32,129 交易量
1%
February 12
$32,129 交易量
1%
February 13
$30,509 交易量
2%
February 13
$30,509 交易量
2%
February 14
$39,644 交易量
2%
February 14
$39,644 交易量
2%
February 15
$38,010 交易量
1%
February 15
$38,010 交易量
1%
February 16
$36,232 交易量
1%
February 16
$36,232 交易量
1%
February 17
$39,028 交易量
1%
February 17
$39,028 交易量
1%
February 18
$36,912 交易量
1%
February 18
$36,912 交易量
1%
February 19
$34,417 交易量
1%
February 19
$34,417 交易量
1%
February 20
$33,844 交易量
1%
February 20
$33,844 交易量
1%
February 21
$37,616 交易量
2%
February 21
$37,616 交易量
2%
February 22
$39,336 交易量
1%
February 22
$39,336 交易量
1%
February 23
$43,020 交易量
1%
February 23
$43,020 交易量
1%
February 24
$39,617 交易量
1%
February 24
$39,617 交易量
1%
February 25
$41,972 交易量
1%
February 25
$41,972 交易量
1%
February 26
$40,268 交易量
1%
February 26
$40,268 交易量
1%
February 27
$47,061 交易量
2%
February 27
$47,061 交易量
2%
February 28
$45,712 交易量
2%
February 28
$45,712 交易量
2%
No strike by February 28
$45,745 交易量
41%
No strike by February 28
$45,745 交易量
41%
规则
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by February 28," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
创建于： Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 41%
February 1 8.1%
January 2026 8%
February 7 4.8%
$1,206,921 交易量
$1,206,921 交易量
January 2026
8%
February 1
8%
February 2
3%
February 3
2%
February 4
3%
February 5
2%
February 6
4%
February 7
5%
February 8
3%
February 9
2%
February 10
2%
February 11
2%
February 12
1%
February 13
2%
February 14
2%
February 15
1%
February 16
1%
February 17
1%
February 18
1%
February 19
1%
February 20
1%
February 21
2%
February 22
1%
February 23
1%
February 24
1%
February 25
1%
February 26
1%
February 27
2%
February 28
2%
No strike by February 28
41%
关于
Resolver
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