Incumbent Rep. Sylvia Garcia's decisive win in the March 3 Democratic primary—securing 58% against challengers Jarvis Johnson and Robert Slater—has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic victory in the TX-29 House race, reflecting the district's strong D+17 Cook PVI and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 65% in recent generals. Redistricting shifted boundaries but failed to make it competitive, as rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and others. Republican nominee Martha Fierro advanced unopposed on low turnout, with minimal fundraising. While a massive GOP national wave, Garcia scandal, or health issue could shift odds, historical precedents favor the incumbent in this Hispanic-majority Houston battleground ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,258 交易量
94%
共和党
$256 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Sylvia Garcia's decisive win in the March 3 Democratic primary—securing 58% against challengers Jarvis Johnson and Robert Slater—has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic victory in the TX-29 House race, reflecting the district's strong D+17 Cook PVI and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 65% in recent generals. Redistricting shifted boundaries but failed to make it competitive, as rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and others. Republican nominee Martha Fierro advanced unopposed on low turnout, with minimal fundraising. While a massive GOP national wave, Garcia scandal, or health issue could shift odds, historical precedents favor the incumbent in this Hispanic-majority Houston battleground ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$3,514结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Sylvia Garcia's decisive win in the March 3 Democratic primary—securing 58% against challengers Jarvis Johnson and Robert Slater—has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic victory in the TX-29 House race, reflecting the district's strong D+17 Cook PVI and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 65% in recent generals. Redistricting shifted boundaries but failed to make it competitive, as rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and others. Republican nominee Martha Fierro advanced unopposed on low turnout, with minimal fundraising. While a massive GOP national wave, Garcia scandal, or health issue could shift odds, historical precedents favor the incumbent in this Hispanic-majority Houston battleground ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,514结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Sylvia Garcia's decisive win in the March 3 Democratic primary—securing 58% against challengers Jarvis Johnson and Robert Slater—has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic victory in the TX-29 House race, reflecting the district's strong D+17 Cook PVI and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 65% in recent generals. Redistricting shifted boundaries but failed to make it competitive, as rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and others. Republican nominee Martha Fierro advanced unopposed on low turnout, with minimal fundraising. While a massive GOP national wave, Garcia scandal, or health issue could shift odds, historical precedents favor the incumbent in this Hispanic-majority Houston battleground ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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