California's 11th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by roughly nine-to-one and a partisan lean exceeding D+35 based on recent presidential results. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after nearly four decades opened the seat, drawing a crowded June 2 nonpartisan primary dominated by Democratic contenders including state Senator Scott Wiener, who holds the party endorsement and leads polling. Limited Republican and independent entries have drawn minimal resources or support. Trader consensus on Democratic victory reflects these structural advantages and historical patterns in the San Francisco-based district, though scenarios such as an unusually fractured Democratic field allowing a Republican to advance from the top-two primary or a national Republican wave could still alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,127 交易量
95%
共和党
$701 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by roughly nine-to-one and a partisan lean exceeding D+35 based on recent presidential results. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after nearly four decades opened the seat, drawing a crowded June 2 nonpartisan primary dominated by Democratic contenders including state Senator Scott Wiener, who holds the party endorsement and leads polling. Limited Republican and independent entries have drawn minimal resources or support. Trader consensus on Democratic victory reflects these structural advantages and historical patterns in the San Francisco-based district, though scenarios such as an unusually fractured Democratic field allowing a Republican to advance from the top-two primary or a national Republican wave could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$3,828结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by roughly nine-to-one and a partisan lean exceeding D+35 based on recent presidential results. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after nearly four decades opened the seat, drawing a crowded June 2 nonpartisan primary dominated by Democratic contenders including state Senator Scott Wiener, who holds the party endorsement and leads polling. Limited Republican and independent entries have drawn minimal resources or support. Trader consensus on Democratic victory reflects these structural advantages and historical patterns in the San Francisco-based district, though scenarios such as an unusually fractured Democratic field allowing a Republican to advance from the top-two primary or a national Republican wave could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,828结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 11th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by roughly nine-to-one and a partisan lean exceeding D+35 based on recent presidential results. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after nearly four decades opened the seat, drawing a crowded June 2 nonpartisan primary dominated by Democratic contenders including state Senator Scott Wiener, who holds the party endorsement and leads polling. Limited Republican and independent entries have drawn minimal resources or support. Trader consensus on Democratic victory reflects these structural advantages and historical patterns in the San Francisco-based district, though scenarios such as an unusually fractured Democratic field allowing a Republican to advance from the top-two primary or a national Republican wave could still alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题