Oregon's 1st congressional district, encompassing northwest Oregon including western Portland suburbs, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent's 68.6% margin in 2024. Suzanne Bonamici secured the Democratic nomination on May 19, 2026, defeating challenger Jamil Ahmad by a wide margin in the primary, while Barbara Kahl advanced as the Republican nominee. This positioning, combined with Bonamici's long tenure since 2012, established name recognition, and consistent fundraising advantage, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold in the November 3 general election. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a late-breaking scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, though the district's structural advantages make such an outcome improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,638 交易量
94%
共和党
$1,172 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district, encompassing northwest Oregon including western Portland suburbs, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent's 68.6% margin in 2024. Suzanne Bonamici secured the Democratic nomination on May 19, 2026, defeating challenger Jamil Ahmad by a wide margin in the primary, while Barbara Kahl advanced as the Republican nominee. This positioning, combined with Bonamici's long tenure since 2012, established name recognition, and consistent fundraising advantage, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold in the November 3 general election. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a late-breaking scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, though the district's structural advantages make such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$6,810结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district, encompassing northwest Oregon including western Portland suburbs, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent's 68.6% margin in 2024. Suzanne Bonamici secured the Democratic nomination on May 19, 2026, defeating challenger Jamil Ahmad by a wide margin in the primary, while Barbara Kahl advanced as the Republican nominee. This positioning, combined with Bonamici's long tenure since 2012, established name recognition, and consistent fundraising advantage, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold in the November 3 general election. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a late-breaking scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, though the district's structural advantages make such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,810结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 1st congressional district, encompassing northwest Oregon including western Portland suburbs, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent's 68.6% margin in 2024. Suzanne Bonamici secured the Democratic nomination on May 19, 2026, defeating challenger Jamil Ahmad by a wide margin in the primary, while Barbara Kahl advanced as the Republican nominee. This positioning, combined with Bonamici's long tenure since 2012, established name recognition, and consistent fundraising advantage, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold in the November 3 general election. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a late-breaking scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, though the district's structural advantages make such an outcome improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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