Oregon’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus that heavily favors the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote and will face Republican Barbara Kahl in the November general election. The district’s D+20 partisan voting index and Bonamici’s consistent margins above 65 percent in prior cycles underpin the current pricing. Kahl, a veterinarian, prevailed in a low-turnout Republican primary but enters the general contest with limited statewide profile and fundraising. Absent a significant late-cycle shift in national conditions or an unforeseen development involving either candidate, the structural advantages for the Democratic ticket are expected to hold through Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,822 交易量
95%
共和党
$1,172 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus that heavily favors the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote and will face Republican Barbara Kahl in the November general election. The district’s D+20 partisan voting index and Bonamici’s consistent margins above 65 percent in prior cycles underpin the current pricing. Kahl, a veterinarian, prevailed in a low-turnout Republican primary but enters the general contest with limited statewide profile and fundraising. Absent a significant late-cycle shift in national conditions or an unforeseen development involving either candidate, the structural advantages for the Democratic ticket are expected to hold through Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$4,994结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus that heavily favors the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote and will face Republican Barbara Kahl in the November general election. The district’s D+20 partisan voting index and Bonamici’s consistent margins above 65 percent in prior cycles underpin the current pricing. Kahl, a veterinarian, prevailed in a low-turnout Republican primary but enters the general contest with limited statewide profile and fundraising. Absent a significant late-cycle shift in national conditions or an unforeseen development involving either candidate, the structural advantages for the Democratic ticket are expected to hold through Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,994结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus that heavily favors the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote and will face Republican Barbara Kahl in the November general election. The district’s D+20 partisan voting index and Bonamici’s consistent margins above 65 percent in prior cycles underpin the current pricing. Kahl, a veterinarian, prevailed in a low-turnout Republican primary but enters the general contest with limited statewide profile and fundraising. Absent a significant late-cycle shift in national conditions or an unforeseen development involving either candidate, the structural advantages for the Democratic ticket are expected to hold through Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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