Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Texas's 6th Congressional District, defeating challengers with roughly two-thirds of the vote. The district, which encompasses suburban areas south of Dallas-Fort Worth including parts of Arlington and Mansfield, carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+11 and delivered strong support for Republican presidential and Senate candidates in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting structural advantages for the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Danny Minton. Trader consensus in the market prices Republican victory at 88 percent, consistent with the district's voting history and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum or significant late-cycle disruptions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
88%
民主党
12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,751 交易量
88%
民主党
$4,311 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Texas's 6th Congressional District, defeating challengers with roughly two-thirds of the vote. The district, which encompasses suburban areas south of Dallas-Fort Worth including parts of Arlington and Mansfield, carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+11 and delivered strong support for Republican presidential and Senate candidates in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting structural advantages for the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Danny Minton. Trader consensus in the market prices Republican victory at 88 percent, consistent with the district's voting history and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum or significant late-cycle disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$7,062结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Texas's 6th Congressional District, defeating challengers with roughly two-thirds of the vote. The district, which encompasses suburban areas south of Dallas-Fort Worth including parts of Arlington and Mansfield, carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+11 and delivered strong support for Republican presidential and Senate candidates in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting structural advantages for the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Danny Minton. Trader consensus in the market prices Republican victory at 88 percent, consistent with the district's voting history and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum or significant late-cycle disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,062结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Texas's 6th Congressional District, defeating challengers with roughly two-thirds of the vote. The district, which encompasses suburban areas south of Dallas-Fort Worth including parts of Arlington and Mansfield, carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+11 and delivered strong support for Republican presidential and Senate candidates in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting structural advantages for the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Danny Minton. Trader consensus in the market prices Republican victory at 88 percent, consistent with the district's voting history and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum or significant late-cycle disruptions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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