Incumbent Jim Jordan runs unopposed in the May 5 Republican primary for Ohio's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, fueling trader consensus at 92% for a GOP victory on November 3. All major race ratings—Solid Republican from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball—reflect the district's history of lopsided wins, including Jordan's 68.5% margin in 2024 amid 71% Republican presidential turnout. Democrat Joshua Kolasinski, the sole primary candidate after Tamie Wilson's withdrawal, reports no fundraising as of late 2025. While late scandals, health issues, or a national Democratic wave could shift odds, structural advantages present significant barriers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$0 交易量
92%
民主党
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Jordan runs unopposed in the May 5 Republican primary for Ohio's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, fueling trader consensus at 92% for a GOP victory on November 3. All major race ratings—Solid Republican from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball—reflect the district's history of lopsided wins, including Jordan's 68.5% margin in 2024 amid 71% Republican presidential turnout. Democrat Joshua Kolasinski, the sole primary candidate after Tamie Wilson's withdrawal, reports no fundraising as of late 2025. While late scandals, health issues, or a national Democratic wave could shift odds, structural advantages present significant barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Jordan runs unopposed in the May 5 Republican primary for Ohio's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, fueling trader consensus at 92% for a GOP victory on November 3. All major race ratings—Solid Republican from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball—reflect the district's history of lopsided wins, including Jordan's 68.5% margin in 2024 amid 71% Republican presidential turnout. Democrat Joshua Kolasinski, the sole primary candidate after Tamie Wilson's withdrawal, reports no fundraising as of late 2025. While late scandals, health issues, or a national Democratic wave could shift odds, structural advantages present significant barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim Jordan runs unopposed in the May 5 Republican primary for Ohio's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, fueling trader consensus at 92% for a GOP victory on November 3. All major race ratings—Solid Republican from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball—reflect the district's history of lopsided wins, including Jordan's 68.5% margin in 2024 amid 71% Republican presidential turnout. Democrat Joshua Kolasinski, the sole primary candidate after Tamie Wilson's withdrawal, reports no fundraising as of late 2025. While late scandals, health issues, or a national Democratic wave could shift odds, structural advantages present significant barriers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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