Republican traders' strong consensus favoring the Republican Party at 80.5% in the NY-11 House race stems from incumbent Nicole Malliotakis's double-digit polling leads in recent surveys, including a Siena College poll showing her ahead by 18 points among likely voters in this Staten Island battleground district. National GOP momentum, bolstered by favorable views on immigration and the economy, has widened her advantage over Democratic challenger Michael Higgins, who trails in fundraising and faces weaker independent support. Early voting trends show higher GOP turnout, with no late-breaking scandals or shifts as the November 5 election approaches. While historical margins were narrow in 2022, current polling averages and incumbency edge drive trader pricing, though outcomes remain subject to turnout and unforeseen events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
81%
民主党
14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
81%
民主党
$0 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican traders' strong consensus favoring the Republican Party at 80.5% in the NY-11 House race stems from incumbent Nicole Malliotakis's double-digit polling leads in recent surveys, including a Siena College poll showing her ahead by 18 points among likely voters in this Staten Island battleground district. National GOP momentum, bolstered by favorable views on immigration and the economy, has widened her advantage over Democratic challenger Michael Higgins, who trails in fundraising and faces weaker independent support. Early voting trends show higher GOP turnout, with no late-breaking scandals or shifts as the November 5 election approaches. While historical margins were narrow in 2022, current polling averages and incumbency edge drive trader pricing, though outcomes remain subject to turnout and unforeseen events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican traders' strong consensus favoring the Republican Party at 80.5% in the NY-11 House race stems from incumbent Nicole Malliotakis's double-digit polling leads in recent surveys, including a Siena College poll showing her ahead by 18 points among likely voters in this Staten Island battleground district. National GOP momentum, bolstered by favorable views on immigration and the economy, has widened her advantage over Democratic challenger Michael Higgins, who trails in fundraising and faces weaker independent support. Early voting trends show higher GOP turnout, with no late-breaking scandals or shifts as the November 5 election approaches. While historical margins were narrow in 2022, current polling averages and incumbency edge drive trader pricing, though outcomes remain subject to turnout and unforeseen events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican traders' strong consensus favoring the Republican Party at 80.5% in the NY-11 House race stems from incumbent Nicole Malliotakis's double-digit polling leads in recent surveys, including a Siena College poll showing her ahead by 18 points among likely voters in this Staten Island battleground district. National GOP momentum, bolstered by favorable views on immigration and the economy, has widened her advantage over Democratic challenger Michael Higgins, who trails in fundraising and faces weaker independent support. Early voting trends show higher GOP turnout, with no late-breaking scandals or shifts as the November 5 election approaches. While historical margins were narrow in 2022, current polling averages and incumbency edge drive trader pricing, though outcomes remain subject to turnout and unforeseen events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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