**Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 10th congressional district, reflected in the market’s 91.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9, and all major forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Harrigan secured renomination with nearly 88% in the March primary, while Democrat Ashley Bell prevailed in a fragmented field. A March poll showed Harrigan leading 52-37, and his fundraising exceeds $1 million compared with Bell’s roughly $84,000. A strong Republican performance in the November general election aligns with the district’s voting history and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. Late national shifts, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unforeseen candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-02
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
共和党
$2,853 交易量
92%
民主党
$3,653 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 10th congressional district, reflected in the market’s 91.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9, and all major forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Harrigan secured renomination with nearly 88% in the March primary, while Democrat Ashley Bell prevailed in a fragmented field. A March poll showed Harrigan leading 52-37, and his fundraising exceeds $1 million compared with Bell’s roughly $84,000. A strong Republican performance in the November general election aligns with the district’s voting history and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. Late national shifts, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unforeseen candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$6,506结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 10th congressional district, reflected in the market’s 91.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9, and all major forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Harrigan secured renomination with nearly 88% in the March primary, while Democrat Ashley Bell prevailed in a fragmented field. A March poll showed Harrigan leading 52-37, and his fundraising exceeds $1 million compared with Bell’s roughly $84,000. A strong Republican performance in the November general election aligns with the district’s voting history and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. Late national shifts, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unforeseen candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,506结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET**Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 10th congressional district, reflected in the market’s 91.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9, and all major forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Harrigan secured renomination with nearly 88% in the March primary, while Democrat Ashley Bell prevailed in a fragmented field. A March poll showed Harrigan leading 52-37, and his fundraising exceeds $1 million compared with Bell’s roughly $84,000. A strong Republican performance in the November general election aligns with the district’s voting history and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. Late national shifts, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unforeseen candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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