Incumbent Democrat Angie Craig holds a commanding lead in recent polls for Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, with surveys like the October AtlasIntel poll showing her ahead 52%-44% and others confirming double-digit margins amid high early voting turnout in this suburban Twin Cities battleground. Her fundraising edge—over $5 million raised versus under $1 million for Republican Joe Frasca—fuels aggressive ad campaigns emphasizing her bipartisan record on issues like insulin pricing and veteran support. No major scandals or shifts have emerged in the final week before November 5, reinforcing trader consensus on a likely Democratic hold despite the district's competitiveness in past cycles, with odds reflecting the incumbency advantage and polling average stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
82%
共和党
16%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
$0 交易量
82%
共和党
$0 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Angie Craig holds a commanding lead in recent polls for Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, with surveys like the October AtlasIntel poll showing her ahead 52%-44% and others confirming double-digit margins amid high early voting turnout in this suburban Twin Cities battleground. Her fundraising edge—over $5 million raised versus under $1 million for Republican Joe Frasca—fuels aggressive ad campaigns emphasizing her bipartisan record on issues like insulin pricing and veteran support. No major scandals or shifts have emerged in the final week before November 5, reinforcing trader consensus on a likely Democratic hold despite the district's competitiveness in past cycles, with odds reflecting the incumbency advantage and polling average stability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Angie Craig holds a commanding lead in recent polls for Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, with surveys like the October AtlasIntel poll showing her ahead 52%-44% and others confirming double-digit margins amid high early voting turnout in this suburban Twin Cities battleground. Her fundraising edge—over $5 million raised versus under $1 million for Republican Joe Frasca—fuels aggressive ad campaigns emphasizing her bipartisan record on issues like insulin pricing and veteran support. No major scandals or shifts have emerged in the final week before November 5, reinforcing trader consensus on a likely Democratic hold despite the district's competitiveness in past cycles, with odds reflecting the incumbency advantage and polling average stability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Angie Craig holds a commanding lead in recent polls for Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, with surveys like the October AtlasIntel poll showing her ahead 52%-44% and others confirming double-digit margins amid high early voting turnout in this suburban Twin Cities battleground. Her fundraising edge—over $5 million raised versus under $1 million for Republican Joe Frasca—fuels aggressive ad campaigns emphasizing her bipartisan record on issues like insulin pricing and veteran support. No major scandals or shifts have emerged in the final week before November 5, reinforcing trader consensus on a likely Democratic hold despite the district's competitiveness in past cycles, with odds reflecting the incumbency advantage and polling average stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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