Incumbent Rep. John Olszewski Jr. (D) anchors trader consensus for a Democratic hold in Maryland's 2nd Congressional District, a D+10 suburban Baltimore seat he captured with 58% in 2024 following an 79% primary win. With filings closed February 24 and the June 23 primaries looming, Olszewski boasts over $500,000 cash on hand against minor challengers, while Republicans feature repeat contender Kim Klacik and others lacking upset potential. No recent polls or developments signal competitiveness, underscoring the district's reliable Democratic base and incumbency edge. Realistic challenges include a primary upset ousting Olszewski, superior GOP fundraising, a national Republican midterm wave, or unforeseen scandals, legal issues, or health events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,287 交易量
93%
共和党
$458 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. John Olszewski Jr. (D) anchors trader consensus for a Democratic hold in Maryland's 2nd Congressional District, a D+10 suburban Baltimore seat he captured with 58% in 2024 following an 79% primary win. With filings closed February 24 and the June 23 primaries looming, Olszewski boasts over $500,000 cash on hand against minor challengers, while Republicans feature repeat contender Kim Klacik and others lacking upset potential. No recent polls or developments signal competitiveness, underscoring the district's reliable Democratic base and incumbency edge. Realistic challenges include a primary upset ousting Olszewski, superior GOP fundraising, a national Republican midterm wave, or unforeseen scandals, legal issues, or health events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$5,744结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. John Olszewski Jr. (D) anchors trader consensus for a Democratic hold in Maryland's 2nd Congressional District, a D+10 suburban Baltimore seat he captured with 58% in 2024 following an 79% primary win. With filings closed February 24 and the June 23 primaries looming, Olszewski boasts over $500,000 cash on hand against minor challengers, while Republicans feature repeat contender Kim Klacik and others lacking upset potential. No recent polls or developments signal competitiveness, underscoring the district's reliable Democratic base and incumbency edge. Realistic challenges include a primary upset ousting Olszewski, superior GOP fundraising, a national Republican midterm wave, or unforeseen scandals, legal issues, or health events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,744结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. John Olszewski Jr. (D) anchors trader consensus for a Democratic hold in Maryland's 2nd Congressional District, a D+10 suburban Baltimore seat he captured with 58% in 2024 following an 79% primary win. With filings closed February 24 and the June 23 primaries looming, Olszewski boasts over $500,000 cash on hand against minor challengers, while Republicans feature repeat contender Kim Klacik and others lacking upset potential. No recent polls or developments signal competitiveness, underscoring the district's reliable Democratic base and incumbency edge. Realistic challenges include a primary upset ousting Olszewski, superior GOP fundraising, a national Republican midterm wave, or unforeseen scandals, legal issues, or health events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题