Incumbent Democrat John Olszewski Jr.'s strong reelection bid in Maryland's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+10 partisan lean, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic House winner. Olszewski's 58% victory over Kim Klacik in the 2024 general election, bolstered by superior fundraising ($506K cash on hand), consistent district margins above 58% in recent cycles, and incumbency advantages sustain this dominance despite no major developments in the past 30 days. June 23 primaries loom, featuring Democratic challengers Enrico Bailey and Clint Spellman Jr., plus Republican contenders including Klacik. Upsets, scandals, legal issues, or a national GOP midterm wave could challenge odds, though structural barriers remain high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,287 交易量
93%
共和党
$458 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Olszewski Jr.'s strong reelection bid in Maryland's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+10 partisan lean, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic House winner. Olszewski's 58% victory over Kim Klacik in the 2024 general election, bolstered by superior fundraising ($506K cash on hand), consistent district margins above 58% in recent cycles, and incumbency advantages sustain this dominance despite no major developments in the past 30 days. June 23 primaries loom, featuring Democratic challengers Enrico Bailey and Clint Spellman Jr., plus Republican contenders including Klacik. Upsets, scandals, legal issues, or a national GOP midterm wave could challenge odds, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$5,744结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Olszewski Jr.'s strong reelection bid in Maryland's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+10 partisan lean, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic House winner. Olszewski's 58% victory over Kim Klacik in the 2024 general election, bolstered by superior fundraising ($506K cash on hand), consistent district margins above 58% in recent cycles, and incumbency advantages sustain this dominance despite no major developments in the past 30 days. June 23 primaries loom, featuring Democratic challengers Enrico Bailey and Clint Spellman Jr., plus Republican contenders including Klacik. Upsets, scandals, legal issues, or a national GOP midterm wave could challenge odds, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,744结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat John Olszewski Jr.'s strong reelection bid in Maryland's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+10 partisan lean, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic House winner. Olszewski's 58% victory over Kim Klacik in the 2024 general election, bolstered by superior fundraising ($506K cash on hand), consistent district margins above 58% in recent cycles, and incumbency advantages sustain this dominance despite no major developments in the past 30 days. June 23 primaries loom, featuring Democratic challengers Enrico Bailey and Clint Spellman Jr., plus Republican contenders including Klacik. Upsets, scandals, legal issues, or a national GOP midterm wave could challenge odds, though structural barriers remain high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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