Traders assign the European Union a 96.6% probability of remaining intact through 2027, driven by its entrenched treaty framework requiring unanimous member consent for dissolution and extensive economic interdependence via the single market and common policies. Institutional structures including the European Commission, Parliament, and Court of Justice continue to coordinate responses to shared priorities such as enlargement negotiations with candidate states, energy security measures, and regulatory harmonization. No coordinated withdrawal movements or treaty renegotiation initiatives have gained traction among governments in recent months. Rare developments that could still alter this outlook include simultaneous populist-led exits by multiple large members or a severe systemic crisis forcing wholesale institutional overhaul, though both remain distant given current political and economic alignments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于欧盟在2027年之前解体？
欧盟在2027年之前解体？
是
$169,559 交易量
$169,559 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$169,559 交易量
$169,559 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign the European Union a 96.6% probability of remaining intact through 2027, driven by its entrenched treaty framework requiring unanimous member consent for dissolution and extensive economic interdependence via the single market and common policies. Institutional structures including the European Commission, Parliament, and Court of Justice continue to coordinate responses to shared priorities such as enlargement negotiations with candidate states, energy security measures, and regulatory harmonization. No coordinated withdrawal movements or treaty renegotiation initiatives have gained traction among governments in recent months. Rare developments that could still alter this outlook include simultaneous populist-led exits by multiple large members or a severe systemic crisis forcing wholesale institutional overhaul, though both remain distant given current political and economic alignments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ET
交易量
$169,559结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign the European Union a 96.6% probability of remaining intact through 2027, driven by its entrenched treaty framework requiring unanimous member consent for dissolution and extensive economic interdependence via the single market and common policies. Institutional structures including the European Commission, Parliament, and Court of Justice continue to coordinate responses to shared priorities such as enlargement negotiations with candidate states, energy security measures, and regulatory harmonization. No coordinated withdrawal movements or treaty renegotiation initiatives have gained traction among governments in recent months. Rare developments that could still alter this outlook include simultaneous populist-led exits by multiple large members or a severe systemic crisis forcing wholesale institutional overhaul, though both remain distant given current political and economic alignments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$169,559结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign the European Union a 96.6% probability of remaining intact through 2027, driven by its entrenched treaty framework requiring unanimous member consent for dissolution and extensive economic interdependence via the single market and common policies. Institutional structures including the European Commission, Parliament, and Court of Justice continue to coordinate responses to shared priorities such as enlargement negotiations with candidate states, energy security measures, and regulatory harmonization. No coordinated withdrawal movements or treaty renegotiation initiatives have gained traction among governments in recent months. Rare developments that could still alter this outlook include simultaneous populist-led exits by multiple large members or a severe systemic crisis forcing wholesale institutional overhaul, though both remain distant given current political and economic alignments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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