The EU's institutional framework, treaty-based governance, and ongoing policy implementation through 2026 underpin trader consensus against dissolution before 2027. Recent developments, including advancement of the 2028-2034 budget framework, migration pact rollout, defense coordination initiatives, and Ukraine integration discussions, reflect sustained member-state engagement and institutional continuity rather than fragmentation. Economic interdependence, shared regulatory structures, and the absence of any formal dissolution mechanisms or widespread political support for exit further reinforce stability. While extreme scenarios such as coordinated treaty withdrawals amid unprecedented geopolitical shocks or systemic crises could theoretically alter trajectories, these remain distant from current verifiable conditions and timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于欧盟在2027年之前解体？
欧盟在2027年之前解体？
是
2% 概率
$178,938 交易量
$178,938 交易量
2026-12-31
是
2% 概率
$178,938 交易量
$178,938 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The EU's institutional framework, treaty-based governance, and ongoing policy implementation through 2026 underpin trader consensus against dissolution before 2027. Recent developments, including advancement of the 2028-2034 budget framework, migration pact rollout, defense coordination initiatives, and Ukraine integration discussions, reflect sustained member-state engagement and institutional continuity rather than fragmentation. Economic interdependence, shared regulatory structures, and the absence of any formal dissolution mechanisms or widespread political support for exit further reinforce stability. While extreme scenarios such as coordinated treaty withdrawals amid unprecedented geopolitical shocks or systemic crises could theoretically alter trajectories, these remain distant from current verifiable conditions and timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ET
交易量
$178,938结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The EU's institutional framework, treaty-based governance, and ongoing policy implementation through 2026 underpin trader consensus against dissolution before 2027. Recent developments, including advancement of the 2028-2034 budget framework, migration pact rollout, defense coordination initiatives, and Ukraine integration discussions, reflect sustained member-state engagement and institutional continuity rather than fragmentation. Economic interdependence, shared regulatory structures, and the absence of any formal dissolution mechanisms or widespread political support for exit further reinforce stability. While extreme scenarios such as coordinated treaty withdrawals amid unprecedented geopolitical shocks or systemic crises could theoretically alter trajectories, these remain distant from current verifiable conditions and timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$178,938结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The EU's institutional framework, treaty-based governance, and ongoing policy implementation through 2026 underpin trader consensus against dissolution before 2027. Recent developments, including advancement of the 2028-2034 budget framework, migration pact rollout, defense coordination initiatives, and Ukraine integration discussions, reflect sustained member-state engagement and institutional continuity rather than fragmentation. Economic interdependence, shared regulatory structures, and the absence of any formal dissolution mechanisms or widespread political support for exit further reinforce stability. While extreme scenarios such as coordinated treaty withdrawals amid unprecedented geopolitical shocks or systemic crises could theoretically alter trajectories, these remain distant from current verifiable conditions and timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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