Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Rondônia first-round preferences, reflecting entrenched regional backing for the Liberal Party candidate among rural, evangelical, and agricultural voters who prioritize security policies, land regularization, and reduced environmental enforcement. State-specific polling from mid-2026 showed him at 58% against Lula’s 25%, underscoring a durable conservative base in the Amazonian electorate that has aligned consistently with the Bolsonaro movement. Trader pricing at 97.5% for first place incorporates this structural advantage alongside national momentum from Supreme Court controversies that have energized right-wing turnout. Potential shifts could arise from late developments in the ongoing corruption investigation tied to film financing, stronger-than-expected showings by third-place contenders such as Augusto Cury, or unexpected turnout changes among undecided or opposition voters before the October 4 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Flavio Bolsonaro 97.5%
Edmilson Costa <1%
雷南·桑托斯 <1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔 <1%
$16,493 交易量
$16,493 交易量
2026-10-04
Flavio Bolsonaro
98%
Edmilson Costa
1%
雷南·桑托斯
1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
1%
Lula
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
兽医威尔逊·格拉西
1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
萨马拉
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
罗纳尔多·卡伊阿多
<1%
泽马
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.5%
Edmilson Costa <1%
雷南·桑托斯 <1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔 <1%
$16,493 交易量
$16,493 交易量
2026-10-04
Flavio Bolsonaro
$9,929 交易量
98%
Edmilson Costa
$490 交易量
1%
雷南·桑托斯
$490 交易量
1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
$560 交易量
1%
Lula
$663 交易量
1%
Pablo Marçal
$621 交易量
1%
兽医威尔逊·格拉西
$539 交易量
1%
Clariana Barao
$480 交易量
<1%
萨马拉
$580 交易量
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$530 交易量
<1%
Hertz Dias
$550 交易量
<1%
罗纳尔多·卡伊阿多
$535 交易量
<1%
泽马
$525 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Rondônia first-round preferences, reflecting entrenched regional backing for the Liberal Party candidate among rural, evangelical, and agricultural voters who prioritize security policies, land regularization, and reduced environmental enforcement. State-specific polling from mid-2026 showed him at 58% against Lula’s 25%, underscoring a durable conservative base in the Amazonian electorate that has aligned consistently with the Bolsonaro movement. Trader pricing at 97.5% for first place incorporates this structural advantage alongside national momentum from Supreme Court controversies that have energized right-wing turnout. Potential shifts could arise from late developments in the ongoing corruption investigation tied to film financing, stronger-than-expected showings by third-place contenders such as Augusto Cury, or unexpected turnout changes among undecided or opposition voters before the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
交易量
$16,493结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Rondônia first-round preferences, reflecting entrenched regional backing for the Liberal Party candidate among rural, evangelical, and agricultural voters who prioritize security policies, land regularization, and reduced environmental enforcement. State-specific polling from mid-2026 showed him at 58% against Lula’s 25%, underscoring a durable conservative base in the Amazonian electorate that has aligned consistently with the Bolsonaro movement. Trader pricing at 97.5% for first place incorporates this structural advantage alongside national momentum from Supreme Court controversies that have energized right-wing turnout. Potential shifts could arise from late developments in the ongoing corruption investigation tied to film financing, stronger-than-expected showings by third-place contenders such as Augusto Cury, or unexpected turnout changes among undecided or opposition voters before the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$16,493结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETFlávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Rondônia first-round preferences, reflecting entrenched regional backing for the Liberal Party candidate among rural, evangelical, and agricultural voters who prioritize security policies, land regularization, and reduced environmental enforcement. State-specific polling from mid-2026 showed him at 58% against Lula’s 25%, underscoring a durable conservative base in the Amazonian electorate that has aligned consistently with the Bolsonaro movement. Trader pricing at 97.5% for first place incorporates this structural advantage alongside national momentum from Supreme Court controversies that have energized right-wing turnout. Potential shifts could arise from late developments in the ongoing corruption investigation tied to film financing, stronger-than-expected showings by third-place contenders such as Augusto Cury, or unexpected turnout changes among undecided or opposition voters before the October 4 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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