Recent state-level surveys in Paraná show Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) maintaining a double-digit lead over President Lula (PT) in first-round voting intentions, with support near 44-45% compared to Lula's 29-30% and single-digit figures for other registered candidates. This regional strength stems from sustained backing for the Liberal Party ticket in the southern state ahead of the October 4 first round, where voters select among more than two dozen names. Polymarket pricing aligns with these patterns, reflecting trader assessment of the current polling margin and limited time for shifts before ballots close. A late consolidation of opposition support or unexpected turnout surge among smaller candidates could narrow the gap, though such movements would require substantial movement from the established baseline in the remaining weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 97.0%
卢拉 2.1%
雷南·桑托斯 <1%
克拉里亚娜·巴拉奥 <1%
$10,774 交易量
$10,774 交易量
2026-10-04
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
97%
卢拉
2%
雷南·桑托斯
1%
克拉里亚娜·巴拉奥
1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
1%
泽马
1%
帕布洛·马沙尔
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
<1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
<1%
萨马拉
<1%
兽医威尔逊·格拉西
<1%
埃德米尔森·科斯塔
<1%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 97.0%
卢拉 2.1%
雷南·桑托斯 <1%
克拉里亚娜·巴拉奥 <1%
$10,774 交易量
$10,774 交易量
2026-10-04
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$4,051 交易量
97%
卢拉
$425 交易量
2%
雷南·桑托斯
$401 交易量
1%
克拉里亚娜·巴拉奥
$596 交易量
1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
$606 交易量
1%
泽马
$582 交易量
1%
帕布洛·马沙尔
$473 交易量
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
$646 交易量
<1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$652 交易量
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
$527 交易量
<1%
萨马拉
$637 交易量
<1%
兽医威尔逊·格拉西
$542 交易量
<1%
埃德米尔森·科斯塔
$635 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent state-level surveys in Paraná show Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) maintaining a double-digit lead over President Lula (PT) in first-round voting intentions, with support near 44-45% compared to Lula's 29-30% and single-digit figures for other registered candidates. This regional strength stems from sustained backing for the Liberal Party ticket in the southern state ahead of the October 4 first round, where voters select among more than two dozen names. Polymarket pricing aligns with these patterns, reflecting trader assessment of the current polling margin and limited time for shifts before ballots close. A late consolidation of opposition support or unexpected turnout surge among smaller candidates could narrow the gap, though such movements would require substantial movement from the established baseline in the remaining weeks.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
交易量
$10,774结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent state-level surveys in Paraná show Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) maintaining a double-digit lead over President Lula (PT) in first-round voting intentions, with support near 44-45% compared to Lula's 29-30% and single-digit figures for other registered candidates. This regional strength stems from sustained backing for the Liberal Party ticket in the southern state ahead of the October 4 first round, where voters select among more than two dozen names. Polymarket pricing aligns with these patterns, reflecting trader assessment of the current polling margin and limited time for shifts before ballots close. A late consolidation of opposition support or unexpected turnout surge among smaller candidates could narrow the gap, though such movements would require substantial movement from the established baseline in the remaining weeks.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$10,774结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETRecent state-level surveys in Paraná show Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) maintaining a double-digit lead over President Lula (PT) in first-round voting intentions, with support near 44-45% compared to Lula's 29-30% and single-digit figures for other registered candidates. This regional strength stems from sustained backing for the Liberal Party ticket in the southern state ahead of the October 4 first round, where voters select among more than two dozen names. Polymarket pricing aligns with these patterns, reflecting trader assessment of the current polling margin and limited time for shifts before ballots close. A late consolidation of opposition support or unexpected turnout surge among smaller candidates could narrow the gap, though such movements would require substantial movement from the established baseline in the remaining weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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