Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace across the week, fueled by ongoing commentary on AI advancements, space initiatives, and platform updates, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 160-179 range at 100% implied probability. Consistent daily activity on X, including quote tweets and replies tied to industry events, has aligned with historical patterns of high-volume weeks for the account. With the resolution window closing imminently, this frontrunner status reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified feed activity. An upset to a lower bin would require an abrupt slowdown in the final hours or disputes over what qualifies as a main-feed post, though such shifts appear unlikely given sustained momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于160-179 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$2,762,628 交易量
$2,762,628 交易量
2026-08-18
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
Yes
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
160-179 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$2,762,628 交易量
$2,762,628 交易量
2026-08-18
<20
$4,115 交易量
No
20-39
$5,115 交易量
No
40-59
$5,715 交易量
No
60-79
$28,367 交易量
No
80-99
$53,904 交易量
No
100-119
$70,450 交易量
No
120-139
$255,494 交易量
No
140-159
$545,802 交易量
No
160-179
$338,671 交易量
Yes
180-199
$392,097 交易量
No
200-219
$213,931 交易量
No
220-239
$165,344 交易量
No
240-259
$145,566 交易量
No
260-279
$112,017 交易量
No
280-299
$93,959 交易量
No
300-319
$83,111 交易量
No
320-339
$43,368 交易量
No
340-359
$42,323 交易量
No
360-379
$29,969 交易量
No
380-399
$25,087 交易量
No
400-419
$22,118 交易量
No
420-439
$15,300 交易量
No
440-459
$15,044 交易量
No
460-479
$6,196 交易量
No
480-499
$5,696 交易量
No
500+
$43,869 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace across the week, fueled by ongoing commentary on AI advancements, space initiatives, and platform updates, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 160-179 range at 100% implied probability. Consistent daily activity on X, including quote tweets and replies tied to industry events, has aligned with historical patterns of high-volume weeks for the account. With the resolution window closing imminently, this frontrunner status reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified feed activity. An upset to a lower bin would require an abrupt slowdown in the final hours or disputes over what qualifies as a main-feed post, though such shifts appear unlikely given sustained momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$2,762,628结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace across the week, fueled by ongoing commentary on AI advancements, space initiatives, and platform updates, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 160-179 range at 100% implied probability. Consistent daily activity on X, including quote tweets and replies tied to industry events, has aligned with historical patterns of high-volume weeks for the account. With the resolution window closing imminently, this frontrunner status reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified feed activity. An upset to a lower bin would require an abrupt slowdown in the final hours or disputes over what qualifies as a main-feed post, though such shifts appear unlikely given sustained momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$2,762,628结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace across the week, fueled by ongoing commentary on AI advancements, space initiatives, and platform updates, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 160-179 range at 100% implied probability. Consistent daily activity on X, including quote tweets and replies tied to industry events, has aligned with historical patterns of high-volume weeks for the account. With the resolution window closing imminently, this frontrunner status reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified feed activity. An upset to a lower bin would require an abrupt slowdown in the final hours or disputes over what qualifies as a main-feed post, though such shifts appear unlikely given sustained momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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