Lula holds a commanding lead in the implied probability for first place in Sergipe's first-round presidential vote due to the state's consistent historical support for the Workers' Party and his established strength across the Northeast region. Local political alignments, social program priorities, and limited organized opposition within the state have sustained this positioning ahead of the 2026 contest. Trader consensus at 96.8% reflects these structural advantages, though outcomes could shift with late national economic changes, candidate withdrawals, or unexpected coalition realignments that alter first-round dynamics in smaller states like Sergipe.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卢拉 96.8%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥 1.2%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 1.2%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯 <1%
$16,634 交易量
$16,634 交易量
2026-10-04
卢拉
97%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥
1%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
1%
雷南·桑托斯
1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
1%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔
<1%
帕布洛·马沙尔
<1%
泽马
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
<1%
萨玛拉
<1%
兽医威尔逊·格拉西
<1%
卢拉 96.8%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥 1.2%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 1.2%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯 <1%
$16,634 交易量
$16,634 交易量
2026-10-04
卢拉
$8,854 交易量
97%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥
$1,174 交易量
1%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$837 交易量
1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
$593 交易量
1%
雷南·桑托斯
$571 交易量
1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$593 交易量
1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
$599 交易量
1%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔
$611 交易量
<1%
帕布洛·马沙尔
$539 交易量
<1%
泽马
$520 交易量
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
$633 交易量
<1%
萨玛拉
$469 交易量
<1%
兽医威尔逊·格拉西
$641 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding lead in the implied probability for first place in Sergipe's first-round presidential vote due to the state's consistent historical support for the Workers' Party and his established strength across the Northeast region. Local political alignments, social program priorities, and limited organized opposition within the state have sustained this positioning ahead of the 2026 contest. Trader consensus at 96.8% reflects these structural advantages, though outcomes could shift with late national economic changes, candidate withdrawals, or unexpected coalition realignments that alter first-round dynamics in smaller states like Sergipe.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
交易量
$16,634结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding lead in the implied probability for first place in Sergipe's first-round presidential vote due to the state's consistent historical support for the Workers' Party and his established strength across the Northeast region. Local political alignments, social program priorities, and limited organized opposition within the state have sustained this positioning ahead of the 2026 contest. Trader consensus at 96.8% reflects these structural advantages, though outcomes could shift with late national economic changes, candidate withdrawals, or unexpected coalition realignments that alter first-round dynamics in smaller states like Sergipe.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$16,634结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETLula holds a commanding lead in the implied probability for first place in Sergipe's first-round presidential vote due to the state's consistent historical support for the Workers' Party and his established strength across the Northeast region. Local political alignments, social program priorities, and limited organized opposition within the state have sustained this positioning ahead of the 2026 contest. Trader consensus at 96.8% reflects these structural advantages, though outcomes could shift with late national economic changes, candidate withdrawals, or unexpected coalition realignments that alter first-round dynamics in smaller states like Sergipe.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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