Recent state-level polling in Rio de Janeiro shows Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) leading first-round intentions at 39-40%, ahead of incumbent President Lula (PT) at 33-35%, with all other candidates in single digits or lower. As the Liberal Party nominee and a sitting senator from the state, Bolsonaro benefits from consolidated right-leaning support and local name recognition ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus at 91.5% reflects this consistent edge in recent surveys and the limited fragmentation among remaining contenders. A late surge by candidates such as Augusto Cury or Renan Santos, shifts among undecided voters, or national campaign events could still narrow the gap before ballots close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Flavio Bolsonaro 92%
Lula 9%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$25,147 交易量
$25,147 交易量
2026-10-04
Flavio Bolsonaro
92%
Lula
9%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 92%
Lula 9%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$25,147 交易量
$25,147 交易量
2026-10-04
Flavio Bolsonaro
$11,119 交易量
92%
Lula
$7,791 交易量
9%
Clariana Barao
$375 交易量
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$453 交易量
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$453 交易量
<1%
Hertz Dias
$373 交易量
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$1,393 交易量
<1%
Renan Santos
$747 交易量
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$639 交易量
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$431 交易量
<1%
Samara
$433 交易量
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$567 交易量
<1%
Zema
$373 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent state-level polling in Rio de Janeiro shows Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) leading first-round intentions at 39-40%, ahead of incumbent President Lula (PT) at 33-35%, with all other candidates in single digits or lower. As the Liberal Party nominee and a sitting senator from the state, Bolsonaro benefits from consolidated right-leaning support and local name recognition ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus at 91.5% reflects this consistent edge in recent surveys and the limited fragmentation among remaining contenders. A late surge by candidates such as Augusto Cury or Renan Santos, shifts among undecided voters, or national campaign events could still narrow the gap before ballots close.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
交易量
$25,147结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent state-level polling in Rio de Janeiro shows Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) leading first-round intentions at 39-40%, ahead of incumbent President Lula (PT) at 33-35%, with all other candidates in single digits or lower. As the Liberal Party nominee and a sitting senator from the state, Bolsonaro benefits from consolidated right-leaning support and local name recognition ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus at 91.5% reflects this consistent edge in recent surveys and the limited fragmentation among remaining contenders. A late surge by candidates such as Augusto Cury or Renan Santos, shifts among undecided voters, or national campaign events could still narrow the gap before ballots close.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$25,147结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETRecent state-level polling in Rio de Janeiro shows Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) leading first-round intentions at 39-40%, ahead of incumbent President Lula (PT) at 33-35%, with all other candidates in single digits or lower. As the Liberal Party nominee and a sitting senator from the state, Bolsonaro benefits from consolidated right-leaning support and local name recognition ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus at 91.5% reflects this consistent edge in recent surveys and the limited fragmentation among remaining contenders. A late surge by candidates such as Augusto Cury or Renan Santos, shifts among undecided voters, or national campaign events could still narrow the gap before ballots close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题