Recent OPEC+ ministerial meetings, including the June 7 session where Saudi Arabia, Russia, and other members adjusted output quotas and reaffirmed commitments to market stability amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions, demonstrate sustained institutional coordination. The UAE's May 1 exit removed roughly 3% of global supply but has not fractured core decision-making, as evidenced by ongoing voluntary adjustments and the group's active monitoring of 2026 demand forecasts. This operational continuity, backed by real capital in trader positioning, underpins the 93.5% implied probability against dissolution. Potential challenges include further major exits or irreconcilable geopolitical fractures from the Iran conflict that could erode quota compliance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,584 交易量
$29,584 交易量
2026-12-31
$29,584 交易量
$29,584 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent OPEC+ ministerial meetings, including the June 7 session where Saudi Arabia, Russia, and other members adjusted output quotas and reaffirmed commitments to market stability amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions, demonstrate sustained institutional coordination. The UAE's May 1 exit removed roughly 3% of global supply but has not fractured core decision-making, as evidenced by ongoing voluntary adjustments and the group's active monitoring of 2026 demand forecasts. This operational continuity, backed by real capital in trader positioning, underpins the 93.5% implied probability against dissolution. Potential challenges include further major exits or irreconcilable geopolitical fractures from the Iran conflict that could erode quota compliance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
交易量
$29,584结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent OPEC+ ministerial meetings, including the June 7 session where Saudi Arabia, Russia, and other members adjusted output quotas and reaffirmed commitments to market stability amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions, demonstrate sustained institutional coordination. The UAE's May 1 exit removed roughly 3% of global supply but has not fractured core decision-making, as evidenced by ongoing voluntary adjustments and the group's active monitoring of 2026 demand forecasts. This operational continuity, backed by real capital in trader positioning, underpins the 93.5% implied probability against dissolution. Potential challenges include further major exits or irreconcilable geopolitical fractures from the Iran conflict that could erode quota compliance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$29,584结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent OPEC+ ministerial meetings, including the June 7 session where Saudi Arabia, Russia, and other members adjusted output quotas and reaffirmed commitments to market stability amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions, demonstrate sustained institutional coordination. The UAE's May 1 exit removed roughly 3% of global supply but has not fractured core decision-making, as evidenced by ongoing voluntary adjustments and the group's active monitoring of 2026 demand forecasts. This operational continuity, backed by real capital in trader positioning, underpins the 93.5% implied probability against dissolution. Potential challenges include further major exits or irreconcilable geopolitical fractures from the Iran conflict that could erode quota compliance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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