Lula maintains a commanding lead in Piauí first-round presidential voting intentions, consistent with trader consensus reflected in elevated market pricing. The state delivered his strongest 2022 performance nationwide, exceeding 74% of valid votes, and recent local polling from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data shows him at 60-65% against distant challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro. High regional approval for federal social programs, alignment with the PT-led state government under Rafael Fonteles, and Northeast voter patterns sustain this position ahead of the October 4 first round. A late national economic reversal, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow margins, though structural barriers in the state remain substantial.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卢拉 97.0%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔 <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西 <1%
$12,705 交易量
$12,705 交易量
2026-10-04
卢拉
97%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
1%
泽马
1%
帕布洛·马沙尔
1%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
<1%
萨马拉
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
<1%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
<1%
卢拉 97.0%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔 <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西 <1%
$12,705 交易量
$12,705 交易量
2026-10-04
卢拉
$7,612 交易量
97%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
$408 交易量
1%
Clariana Barao
$459 交易量
1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
$393 交易量
1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$398 交易量
1%
泽马
$500 交易量
1%
帕布洛·马沙尔
$485 交易量
1%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔
$382 交易量
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
$391 交易量
<1%
萨马拉
$311 交易量
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
$475 交易量
<1%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$419 交易量
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
$472 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Piauí first-round presidential voting intentions, consistent with trader consensus reflected in elevated market pricing. The state delivered his strongest 2022 performance nationwide, exceeding 74% of valid votes, and recent local polling from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data shows him at 60-65% against distant challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro. High regional approval for federal social programs, alignment with the PT-led state government under Rafael Fonteles, and Northeast voter patterns sustain this position ahead of the October 4 first round. A late national economic reversal, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow margins, though structural barriers in the state remain substantial.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
交易量
$12,705结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Piauí first-round presidential voting intentions, consistent with trader consensus reflected in elevated market pricing. The state delivered his strongest 2022 performance nationwide, exceeding 74% of valid votes, and recent local polling from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data shows him at 60-65% against distant challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro. High regional approval for federal social programs, alignment with the PT-led state government under Rafael Fonteles, and Northeast voter patterns sustain this position ahead of the October 4 first round. A late national economic reversal, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow margins, though structural barriers in the state remain substantial.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$12,705结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETLula maintains a commanding lead in Piauí first-round presidential voting intentions, consistent with trader consensus reflected in elevated market pricing. The state delivered his strongest 2022 performance nationwide, exceeding 74% of valid votes, and recent local polling from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data shows him at 60-65% against distant challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro. High regional approval for federal social programs, alignment with the PT-led state government under Rafael Fonteles, and Northeast voter patterns sustain this position ahead of the October 4 first round. A late national economic reversal, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow margins, though structural barriers in the state remain substantial.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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