Flavio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in São Paulo polling for first place in the October 2026 presidential election first round, reflecting consistent advantages in recent surveys such as Datafolha and Quaest among the state's large electorate. His position as the Liberal Party nominee draws on regional conservative support and name recognition, positioning him ahead of incumbent Lula and a fragmented field including Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, and Ronaldo Caiado. Trader consensus at 94% implies limited volatility from recent probes into his campaign financing. Late shifts in undecided voters, turnout patterns, or stronger showings by minor candidates could still alter the outcome before voting concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 94%
卢拉 6.2%
泽马 <1%
雷南·桑托斯 <1%
$24,752 交易量
$24,752 交易量
2026-10-04
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
94%
卢拉
6%
泽马
1%
雷南·桑托斯
1%
萨马拉
<1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
<1%
克拉里亚娜·巴拉奥
<1%
埃德米尔森·科斯塔
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
<1%
帕布罗·马沙尔
<1%
罗纳尔多·卡伊亚多
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
<1%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 94%
卢拉 6.2%
泽马 <1%
雷南·桑托斯 <1%
$24,752 交易量
$24,752 交易量
2026-10-04
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$7,705 交易量
94%
卢拉
$9,250 交易量
6%
泽马
$693 交易量
1%
雷南·桑托斯
$1,365 交易量
1%
萨马拉
$597 交易量
<1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
$543 交易量
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
$714 交易量
<1%
克拉里亚娜·巴拉奥
$526 交易量
<1%
埃德米尔森·科斯塔
$526 交易量
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
$497 交易量
<1%
帕布罗·马沙尔
$1,189 交易量
<1%
罗纳尔多·卡伊亚多
$622 交易量
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
$527 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in São Paulo polling for first place in the October 2026 presidential election first round, reflecting consistent advantages in recent surveys such as Datafolha and Quaest among the state's large electorate. His position as the Liberal Party nominee draws on regional conservative support and name recognition, positioning him ahead of incumbent Lula and a fragmented field including Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, and Ronaldo Caiado. Trader consensus at 94% implies limited volatility from recent probes into his campaign financing. Late shifts in undecided voters, turnout patterns, or stronger showings by minor candidates could still alter the outcome before voting concludes.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
交易量
$24,752结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in São Paulo polling for first place in the October 2026 presidential election first round, reflecting consistent advantages in recent surveys such as Datafolha and Quaest among the state's large electorate. His position as the Liberal Party nominee draws on regional conservative support and name recognition, positioning him ahead of incumbent Lula and a fragmented field including Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, and Ronaldo Caiado. Trader consensus at 94% implies limited volatility from recent probes into his campaign financing. Late shifts in undecided voters, turnout patterns, or stronger showings by minor candidates could still alter the outcome before voting concludes.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$24,752结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETFlavio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in São Paulo polling for first place in the October 2026 presidential election first round, reflecting consistent advantages in recent surveys such as Datafolha and Quaest among the state's large electorate. His position as the Liberal Party nominee draws on regional conservative support and name recognition, positioning him ahead of incumbent Lula and a fragmented field including Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, and Ronaldo Caiado. Trader consensus at 94% implies limited volatility from recent probes into his campaign financing. Late shifts in undecided voters, turnout patterns, or stronger showings by minor candidates could still alter the outcome before voting concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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