NATO's treaty framework, including Article 13's one-year withdrawal notice and U.S. statutory requirements for congressional approval of any exit, creates substantial procedural barriers to rapid dissolution. The 2026 Ankara summit reaffirmed Article 5 commitments and endorsed a stronger Europe within NATO, while allies have shifted command roles to European officers and increased defense investments without triggering formal exits. Ongoing Russian hybrid threats and alliance military planning, including recent exercises, reinforce institutional cohesion. Trader consensus at 98.6% for no dissolution before 2027 reflects these structural and diplomatic realities. Even amid U.S. force posture reviews or disputes over burden-sharing, full alliance termination would require coordinated withdrawals by multiple members and remains improbable within the short timeline.