Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima first-round polling for the October 2026 presidential election, with recent surveys showing him at 52–62% against Lula’s 17–18% and all other named candidates in single digits. Strong regional alignment with the Liberal Party, evidenced by the June 2026 supplementary gubernatorial win for PL ally Arthur Henrique at 60.9%, and consistent Bolsonarista support in the northern state underpin trader consensus. Flávio’s recent campaign visit, including events in Boa Vista, reinforces party infrastructure and voter mobilization ahead of the October 4 vote. Late shifts could still occur through turnout changes, last-minute legal rulings on candidacies, or unexpected national events affecting the broader field, though no such developments have yet altered the state-level pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 97.8%
卢拉 1.9%
兽医威尔森·格拉西 <1%
作家奥古斯托·库里 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
98%
卢拉
2%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
<1%
泽马
<1%
克拉里亚娜·巴拉奥
<1%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
<1%
帕布罗·马尔萨尔
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
<1%
罗纳尔多·凯亚多
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
<1%
萨马拉
<1%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 97.8%
卢拉 1.9%
兽医威尔森·格拉西 <1%
作家奥古斯托·库里 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$3,571 交易量
98%
卢拉
$657 交易量
2%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
$424 交易量
1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
$560 交易量
<1%
泽马
$417 交易量
<1%
克拉里亚娜·巴拉奥
$498 交易量
<1%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔
$528 交易量
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
$492 交易量
<1%
帕布罗·马尔萨尔
$448 交易量
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
$448 交易量
<1%
罗纳尔多·凯亚多
$448 交易量
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
$416 交易量
<1%
萨马拉
$418 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima first-round polling for the October 2026 presidential election, with recent surveys showing him at 52–62% against Lula’s 17–18% and all other named candidates in single digits. Strong regional alignment with the Liberal Party, evidenced by the June 2026 supplementary gubernatorial win for PL ally Arthur Henrique at 60.9%, and consistent Bolsonarista support in the northern state underpin trader consensus. Flávio’s recent campaign visit, including events in Boa Vista, reinforces party infrastructure and voter mobilization ahead of the October 4 vote. Late shifts could still occur through turnout changes, last-minute legal rulings on candidacies, or unexpected national events affecting the broader field, though no such developments have yet altered the state-level pattern.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
交易量
$9,323结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima first-round polling for the October 2026 presidential election, with recent surveys showing him at 52–62% against Lula’s 17–18% and all other named candidates in single digits. Strong regional alignment with the Liberal Party, evidenced by the June 2026 supplementary gubernatorial win for PL ally Arthur Henrique at 60.9%, and consistent Bolsonarista support in the northern state underpin trader consensus. Flávio’s recent campaign visit, including events in Boa Vista, reinforces party infrastructure and voter mobilization ahead of the October 4 vote. Late shifts could still occur through turnout changes, last-minute legal rulings on candidacies, or unexpected national events affecting the broader field, though no such developments have yet altered the state-level pattern.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$9,323结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETFlávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima first-round polling for the October 2026 presidential election, with recent surveys showing him at 52–62% against Lula’s 17–18% and all other named candidates in single digits. Strong regional alignment with the Liberal Party, evidenced by the June 2026 supplementary gubernatorial win for PL ally Arthur Henrique at 60.9%, and consistent Bolsonarista support in the northern state underpin trader consensus. Flávio’s recent campaign visit, including events in Boa Vista, reinforces party infrastructure and voter mobilization ahead of the October 4 vote. Late shifts could still occur through turnout changes, last-minute legal rulings on candidacies, or unexpected national events affecting the broader field, though no such developments have yet altered the state-level pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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