Lula maintains a commanding lead in Rio Grande do Norte first-round polling for the October 2026 presidential vote, with recent Quaest and Real Time surveys showing him at 56% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19-27% and all other listed candidates at 3% or below. The state’s Northeast location reinforces this positioning, as voters there have historically backed PT candidates amid alignment on social programs and economic policies, reflected in Lula government approval ratings near 55-60%. Trader consensus at 97% for a Lula plurality aligns with this consistent regional gap and the fragmentation of right-leaning and minor candidates. Late developments such as the Supreme Federal Court institutional tensions have produced minimal polling shifts so far. Potential shifts could stem from a major scandal, health event, or unexpected opposition consolidation within the final weeks before the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lula 97.4%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Lula
97%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 97.4%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Lula
$3,225 交易量
97%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$512 交易量
<1%
Clariana Barao
$512 交易量
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$512 交易量
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$512 交易量
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$512 交易量
<1%
Hertz Dias
$512 交易量
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$512 交易量
<1%
Renan Santos
$512 交易量
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$512 交易量
<1%
Samara
$512 交易量
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$512 交易量
<1%
Zema
$512 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Rio Grande do Norte first-round polling for the October 2026 presidential vote, with recent Quaest and Real Time surveys showing him at 56% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19-27% and all other listed candidates at 3% or below. The state’s Northeast location reinforces this positioning, as voters there have historically backed PT candidates amid alignment on social programs and economic policies, reflected in Lula government approval ratings near 55-60%. Trader consensus at 97% for a Lula plurality aligns with this consistent regional gap and the fragmentation of right-leaning and minor candidates. Late developments such as the Supreme Federal Court institutional tensions have produced minimal polling shifts so far. Potential shifts could stem from a major scandal, health event, or unexpected opposition consolidation within the final weeks before the vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
交易量
$9,370结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Rio Grande do Norte first-round polling for the October 2026 presidential vote, with recent Quaest and Real Time surveys showing him at 56% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19-27% and all other listed candidates at 3% or below. The state’s Northeast location reinforces this positioning, as voters there have historically backed PT candidates amid alignment on social programs and economic policies, reflected in Lula government approval ratings near 55-60%. Trader consensus at 97% for a Lula plurality aligns with this consistent regional gap and the fragmentation of right-leaning and minor candidates. Late developments such as the Supreme Federal Court institutional tensions have produced minimal polling shifts so far. Potential shifts could stem from a major scandal, health event, or unexpected opposition consolidation within the final weeks before the vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$9,370结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETLula maintains a commanding lead in Rio Grande do Norte first-round polling for the October 2026 presidential vote, with recent Quaest and Real Time surveys showing him at 56% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19-27% and all other listed candidates at 3% or below. The state’s Northeast location reinforces this positioning, as voters there have historically backed PT candidates amid alignment on social programs and economic policies, reflected in Lula government approval ratings near 55-60%. Trader consensus at 97% for a Lula plurality aligns with this consistent regional gap and the fragmentation of right-leaning and minor candidates. Late developments such as the Supreme Federal Court institutional tensions have produced minimal polling shifts so far. Potential shifts could stem from a major scandal, health event, or unexpected opposition consolidation within the final weeks before the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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