Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso first-round polling for the October 2026 presidential election, with state surveys from Real Time Big Data and Percent Brasil showing him at 41-47% against Lula's 28-33% and single digits for rivals including Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema. Mato Grosso's agricultural economy aligns with the PL candidate's emphasis on property rights and rural interests, bolstering support in this center-west stronghold where the Bolsonaro family legacy resonates. Recent campaign visits have reinforced these ties. Trader consensus reflects this consistent regional advantage, though shifts could arise from national polling swings, late legal developments, or turnout changes among undecided voters ahead of the October 4 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 96%
卢拉 2.4%
泽马 <1%
雷南·桑托斯 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
96%
卢拉
2%
泽马
1%
雷南·桑托斯
1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
<1%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
<1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
<1%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥
<1%
帕布罗·马沙尔
<1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
<1%
萨马拉
<1%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 96%
卢拉 2.4%
泽马 <1%
雷南·桑托斯 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$3,547 交易量
96%
卢拉
$1,490 交易量
2%
泽马
$608 交易量
1%
雷南·桑托斯
$360 交易量
1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
$485 交易量
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
$403 交易量
<1%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔
$470 交易量
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
$386 交易量
<1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$444 交易量
<1%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥
$390 交易量
<1%
帕布罗·马沙尔
$439 交易量
<1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
$396 交易量
<1%
萨马拉
$561 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso first-round polling for the October 2026 presidential election, with state surveys from Real Time Big Data and Percent Brasil showing him at 41-47% against Lula's 28-33% and single digits for rivals including Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema. Mato Grosso's agricultural economy aligns with the PL candidate's emphasis on property rights and rural interests, bolstering support in this center-west stronghold where the Bolsonaro family legacy resonates. Recent campaign visits have reinforced these ties. Trader consensus reflects this consistent regional advantage, though shifts could arise from national polling swings, late legal developments, or turnout changes among undecided voters ahead of the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
交易量
$9,979结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso first-round polling for the October 2026 presidential election, with state surveys from Real Time Big Data and Percent Brasil showing him at 41-47% against Lula's 28-33% and single digits for rivals including Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema. Mato Grosso's agricultural economy aligns with the PL candidate's emphasis on property rights and rural interests, bolstering support in this center-west stronghold where the Bolsonaro family legacy resonates. Recent campaign visits have reinforced these ties. Trader consensus reflects this consistent regional advantage, though shifts could arise from national polling swings, late legal developments, or turnout changes among undecided voters ahead of the October 4 vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$9,979结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ETFlávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso first-round polling for the October 2026 presidential election, with state surveys from Real Time Big Data and Percent Brasil showing him at 41-47% against Lula's 28-33% and single digits for rivals including Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema. Mato Grosso's agricultural economy aligns with the PL candidate's emphasis on property rights and rural interests, bolstering support in this center-west stronghold where the Bolsonaro family legacy resonates. Recent campaign visits have reinforced these ties. Trader consensus reflects this consistent regional advantage, though shifts could arise from national polling swings, late legal developments, or turnout changes among undecided voters ahead of the October 4 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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