Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Santa Catarina for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's consistent conservative leanings and strong support for the Liberal Party in the South region. Multiple state-level surveys from July and August, including those by Quaest and IPC, have shown him at 45-52% among voters there, roughly double the share for incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with remaining candidates such as Renan Santos, Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury each in the low single digits. This positioning aligns with broader patterns of right-leaning preferences in Santa Catarina, reinforced by Flávio's national campaign emphasizing continuity with prior Liberal Party priorities on security and institutions. With the first round weeks away, late shifts among undecided or blank voters or unexpected consolidation behind other contenders represent the primary variables that could alter the outcome in the state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 97.5%
卢拉 1.1%
泽马 <1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
98%
卢拉
1%
泽马
1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
1%
赫茨·迪亚斯
<1%
埃德米尔森·科斯塔
<1%
克拉里亚娜·巴拉奥
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
<1%
帕布罗·马沙尔
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
<1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
<1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
<1%
萨马拉
<1%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 97.5%
卢拉 1.1%
泽马 <1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$1,876 交易量
98%
卢拉
$325 交易量
1%
泽马
$298 交易量
1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
$399 交易量
1%
赫茨·迪亚斯
$329 交易量
<1%
埃德米尔森·科斯塔
$298 交易量
<1%
克拉里亚娜·巴拉奥
$299 交易量
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
$299 交易量
<1%
帕布罗·马沙尔
$299 交易量
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
$299 交易量
<1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$289 交易量
<1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
$299 交易量
<1%
萨马拉
$399 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Santa Catarina for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's consistent conservative leanings and strong support for the Liberal Party in the South region. Multiple state-level surveys from July and August, including those by Quaest and IPC, have shown him at 45-52% among voters there, roughly double the share for incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with remaining candidates such as Renan Santos, Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury each in the low single digits. This positioning aligns with broader patterns of right-leaning preferences in Santa Catarina, reinforced by Flávio's national campaign emphasizing continuity with prior Liberal Party priorities on security and institutions. With the first round weeks away, late shifts among undecided or blank voters or unexpected consolidation behind other contenders represent the primary variables that could alter the outcome in the state.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
交易量
$5,705结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Santa Catarina for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's consistent conservative leanings and strong support for the Liberal Party in the South region. Multiple state-level surveys from July and August, including those by Quaest and IPC, have shown him at 45-52% among voters there, roughly double the share for incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with remaining candidates such as Renan Santos, Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury each in the low single digits. This positioning aligns with broader patterns of right-leaning preferences in Santa Catarina, reinforced by Flávio's national campaign emphasizing continuity with prior Liberal Party priorities on security and institutions. With the first round weeks away, late shifts among undecided or blank voters or unexpected consolidation behind other contenders represent the primary variables that could alter the outcome in the state.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$5,705结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETFlávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Santa Catarina for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting the state's consistent conservative leanings and strong support for the Liberal Party in the South region. Multiple state-level surveys from July and August, including those by Quaest and IPC, have shown him at 45-52% among voters there, roughly double the share for incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with remaining candidates such as Renan Santos, Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury each in the low single digits. This positioning aligns with broader patterns of right-leaning preferences in Santa Catarina, reinforced by Flávio's national campaign emphasizing continuity with prior Liberal Party priorities on security and institutions. With the first round weeks away, late shifts among undecided or blank voters or unexpected consolidation behind other contenders represent the primary variables that could alter the outcome in the state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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