Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent recent polling showing 54-56% support in the state versus 19-25% for main rival Flávio Bolsonaro and single digits or less for other names. As a Pernambuco native and incumbent president, Lula benefits from entrenched regional backing in the Northeast, local party alliances including recent endorsements from state branches of Republicanos, and broad voter recognition ahead of the national vote. Multiple September surveys, including from Real Time Big Data and Datafolha, confirm this gap has held steady over recent weeks. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited evidence of momentum shifts for challengers, though late developments such as turnout swings, candidate withdrawals, or major national events could still narrow margins before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卢拉 97.0%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 1.5%
泽马 <1%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥 <1%
$10,145 交易量
$10,145 交易量
2026-10-04
卢拉
97%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
2%
泽马
1%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
<1%
埃德米尔森·科斯塔
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
<1%
帕布罗·马萨尔
<1%
罗纳尔多·凯亚多
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
<1%
萨马拉
<1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
<1%
卢拉 97.0%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 1.5%
泽马 <1%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥 <1%
$10,145 交易量
$10,145 交易量
2026-10-04
卢拉
$6,097 交易量
97%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$397 交易量
2%
泽马
$339 交易量
1%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥
$319 交易量
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
$319 交易量
<1%
埃德米尔森·科斯塔
$334 交易量
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
$334 交易量
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
$323 交易量
<1%
帕布罗·马萨尔
$356 交易量
<1%
罗纳尔多·凯亚多
$411 交易量
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
$334 交易量
<1%
萨马拉
$291 交易量
<1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
$290 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent recent polling showing 54-56% support in the state versus 19-25% for main rival Flávio Bolsonaro and single digits or less for other names. As a Pernambuco native and incumbent president, Lula benefits from entrenched regional backing in the Northeast, local party alliances including recent endorsements from state branches of Republicanos, and broad voter recognition ahead of the national vote. Multiple September surveys, including from Real Time Big Data and Datafolha, confirm this gap has held steady over recent weeks. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited evidence of momentum shifts for challengers, though late developments such as turnout swings, candidate withdrawals, or major national events could still narrow margins before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
交易量
$10,145结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent recent polling showing 54-56% support in the state versus 19-25% for main rival Flávio Bolsonaro and single digits or less for other names. As a Pernambuco native and incumbent president, Lula benefits from entrenched regional backing in the Northeast, local party alliances including recent endorsements from state branches of Republicanos, and broad voter recognition ahead of the national vote. Multiple September surveys, including from Real Time Big Data and Datafolha, confirm this gap has held steady over recent weeks. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited evidence of momentum shifts for challengers, though late developments such as turnout swings, candidate withdrawals, or major national events could still narrow margins before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$10,145结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETLula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent recent polling showing 54-56% support in the state versus 19-25% for main rival Flávio Bolsonaro and single digits or less for other names. As a Pernambuco native and incumbent president, Lula benefits from entrenched regional backing in the Northeast, local party alliances including recent endorsements from state branches of Republicanos, and broad voter recognition ahead of the national vote. Multiple September surveys, including from Real Time Big Data and Datafolha, confirm this gap has held steady over recent weeks. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited evidence of momentum shifts for challengers, though late developments such as turnout swings, candidate withdrawals, or major national events could still narrow margins before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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