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results for us defaults on debt
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US defaults on debt by 2027?
$14.9K Vol.
$5.4K Liq.
Ends in 8 months
3%
Peak US National Debt before 2027?
$11.0K Vol.
$8.5K Liq.
92%
$40 trillion
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$10.1K Vol.
$3.3K Liq.
12%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
$568K Vol.
$19.8K Liq.
60%
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$3.6K Vol.
$1.6K Liq.
13%
SPLC found guilty in 2026?
$262 Vol.
$76 Liq.
65%
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
$1.4K Vol.
$2.7K Liq.
2
Nothing Ever Happens: March
$341K Vol.
$3.7K Liq.
62%
Nothing
Major US official out by May 31?
$20.0K Vol.
$12.0K Liq.
Ends in 14 days
17%
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
$21.0K Vol.
$34.3K Liq.
Ends in 10 months
43%
900B–1T
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$147K Vol.
$10.8K Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
6%
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$323K Vol.
$25.1K Liq.
12
Ends in 6 months
78%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
$22.3K Vol.
$70.0K Liq.
39%
BMO
US recession by end of 2026?
$1M Vol.
$17.3K Liq.
66
Ends in 9 months
23%
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
$5M Vol.
$85.7K Liq.
70
9%
December 31
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
$1.2K Liq.
2%
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
$1.5K Vol.
$2.0K Liq.
20%
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$105K Vol.
$13.1K Liq.
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$500K Vol.
$31.3K Liq.
5%
Lloyds
Fed abolished before 2027?
$4.1K Vol.
$13.5K Liq.
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