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Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 1 апреля?

Market icon

Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 1 апреля?

17°C 100.0%

18°C <1%

19°C <1%

20°C или выше <1%

Polymarket

$267,082 Объем

17°C 100.0%

18°C <1%

19°C <1%

20°C или выше <1%

Polymarket

$267,082 Объем

17°C

$28,503 Объем

100%

18°C

$22,562 Объем

<1%

19°C

$20,521 Объем

<1%

20°C или выше

$19,450 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official MetService observations for Wellington Central on April 1, 2026, recorded a maximum temperature of 17.2°C amid a high-pressure ridge delivering settled, dry conditions with southerlies following a cold morning start around 9°C. This peak aligns precisely with midday forecast updates and aligns with April climatological averages of 17°C, derived from decades of NIWA data at local stations including Wellington International Airport. Model consensus from MetService emphasized limited convective heating under clear skies, cementing trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for 17°C. Realistic challenges—a rare official data revision uncovering a higher airport reading before midnight resolution or measurement recalibration—remain highly improbable given post-peak cooling trajectories.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$267,082
Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Предложенный исход: Да

Окно спора

Окончательный

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official MetService observations for Wellington Central on April 1, 2026, recorded a maximum temperature of 17.2°C amid a high-pressure ridge delivering settled, dry conditions with southerlies following a cold morning start around 9°C. This peak aligns precisely with midday forecast updates and aligns with April climatological averages of 17°C, derived from decades of NIWA data at local stations including Wellington International Airport. Model consensus from MetService emphasized limited convective heating under clear skies, cementing trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for 17°C. Realistic challenges—a rare official data revision uncovering a higher airport reading before midnight resolution or measurement recalibration—remain highly improbable given post-peak cooling trajectories.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$267,082
Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Предложенный исход: Да

Окно спора

Окончательный

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 1 апреля?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «17°C» с 100%, за ним следует «18°C» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 1 апреля?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $267.1K с момента запуска рынка Mar 29, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 1 апреля?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 1 апреля?» — «17°C» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «18°C» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 1 апреля?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.