Official MetService observations for Wellington Central on April 1, 2026, recorded a maximum temperature of 17.2°C amid a high-pressure ridge delivering settled, dry conditions with southerlies following a cold morning start around 9°C. This peak aligns precisely with midday forecast updates and aligns with April climatological averages of 17°C, derived from decades of NIWA data at local stations including Wellington International Airport. Model consensus from MetService emphasized limited convective heating under clear skies, cementing trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for 17°C. Realistic challenges—a rare official data revision uncovering a higher airport reading before midnight resolution or measurement recalibration—remain highly improbable given post-peak cooling trajectories.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 1 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 1 апреля?
17°C 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C или выше <1%
$267,082 Объем
$267,082 Объем
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
17°C 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C или выше <1%
$267,082 Объем
$267,082 Объем
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official MetService observations for Wellington Central on April 1, 2026, recorded a maximum temperature of 17.2°C amid a high-pressure ridge delivering settled, dry conditions with southerlies following a cold morning start around 9°C. This peak aligns precisely with midday forecast updates and aligns with April climatological averages of 17°C, derived from decades of NIWA data at local stations including Wellington International Airport. Model consensus from MetService emphasized limited convective heating under clear skies, cementing trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for 17°C. Realistic challenges—a rare official data revision uncovering a higher airport reading before midnight resolution or measurement recalibration—remain highly improbable given post-peak cooling trajectories.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы