MetService's latest extended forecast, issued March 29, projects a 19°C high for Wellington on April 4 amid northwesterly winds and showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 21–22% implied probabilities on 18–19°C outcomes and tight clustering around 16–21°C. These northwesterlies, drawing warmer Tasman Sea air, boost potential maxima above the April historical average of 16–17°C, but scattered showers introduce uncertainty through increased cloud cover that could suppress peak insolation and limit highs by 1–3°C. NIWA's seasonal outlook supports near- or above-average temperatures (35–40% chances each) under weakening La Niña transitioning to ENSO-neutral. Watch daily MetService updates for model refinements as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on April 4?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 4?
18°C 22%
19°C 22%
21°C 17.0%
17°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
15%
16°C
15%
17°C
16%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
16%
21°C
17%
22°C or higher
14%
18°C 22%
19°C 22%
21°C 17.0%
17°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
12°C or below
$268 Объем
1%
13°C
$263 Объем
1%
14°C
$268 Объем
1%
15°C
$0 Объем
15%
16°C
$0 Объем
15%
17°C
$101 Объем
16%
18°C
$0 Объем
22%
19°C
$0 Объем
22%
20°C
$0 Объем
16%
21°C
$0 Объем
17%
22°C or higher
$0 Объем
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest extended forecast, issued March 29, projects a 19°C high for Wellington on April 4 amid northwesterly winds and showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 21–22% implied probabilities on 18–19°C outcomes and tight clustering around 16–21°C. These northwesterlies, drawing warmer Tasman Sea air, boost potential maxima above the April historical average of 16–17°C, but scattered showers introduce uncertainty through increased cloud cover that could suppress peak insolation and limit highs by 1–3°C. NIWA's seasonal outlook supports near- or above-average temperatures (35–40% chances each) under weakening La Niña transitioning to ENSO-neutral. Watch daily MetService updates for model refinements as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Объем
$798Дата окончания
Apr 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest extended forecast, issued March 29, projects a 19°C high for Wellington on April 4 amid northwesterly winds and showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 21–22% implied probabilities on 18–19°C outcomes and tight clustering around 16–21°C. These northwesterlies, drawing warmer Tasman Sea air, boost potential maxima above the April historical average of 16–17°C, but scattered showers introduce uncertainty through increased cloud cover that could suppress peak insolation and limit highs by 1–3°C. NIWA's seasonal outlook supports near- or above-average temperatures (35–40% chances each) under weakening La Niña transitioning to ENSO-neutral. Watch daily MetService updates for model refinements as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$798Дата окончания
Apr 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest extended forecast, issued March 29, projects a 19°C high for Wellington on April 4 amid northwesterly winds and showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 21–22% implied probabilities on 18–19°C outcomes and tight clustering around 16–21°C. These northwesterlies, drawing warmer Tasman Sea air, boost potential maxima above the April historical average of 16–17°C, but scattered showers introduce uncertainty through increased cloud cover that could suppress peak insolation and limit highs by 1–3°C. NIWA's seasonal outlook supports near- or above-average temperatures (35–40% chances each) under weakening La Niña transitioning to ENSO-neutral. Watch daily MetService updates for model refinements as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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