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Bolsonaro previsões e probabilidades

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Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

43%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$70M Vol.

$481K today

$4M Liq.

6,284

Ends em 5 meses

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

100%

Xi Jinping

$465K Vol.

$131K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

68%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$3M Vol.

$257K Liq.

34

Ends em 5 meses

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

88%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$311K Vol.

$46.1K Liq.

104

Ends em 5 meses

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

34%

Renan Santos

$274K Vol.

$121K Liq.

44

Ends em 5 meses

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

31%

Lula da Silva <5%

$230K Vol.

$65.1K Liq.

10

Ends em 5 meses

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

83%

$10.1K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

11%

$64.3K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

32

Ends em 5 meses

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

83%

Tarcísio de Freitas

$19.1K Vol.

$43.3K Liq.

3

Ends em 5 meses

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ceará Governor Election Winner

64%

Ciro Gomes

$53.1K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

7

Ends em 5 meses

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

74%

PL

$5.3K Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

2

Ends em 5 meses

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

56%

Cleitinho Azevedo

$16.9K Vol.

$37.2K Liq.

5

Ends em 5 meses

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

73%

PL

$254K Vol.

$36.3K Liq.

9

Ends em 5 meses

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

72%

PL

$13.9K Vol.

$28.2K Liq.

2

Ends em 5 meses

Bahia Governor Election Winner

Bahia Governor Election Winner

53%

Jerônimo Rodrigues

$13.7K Vol.

$35.2K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

98%

December 31

$385K Vol.

$54.9K Liq.

106

Ends em 8 meses

Coritiba FBC vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets

Coritiba FBC vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets

-

$17.2K Vol.

Ends há 3 meses

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

16%

$86.9K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

14

Ends em 8 meses

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

51%

Petro - Colombia President

$260K Vol.

$159K today

$245K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Oeiras 4: Lautaro Midon vs Benjamin Hassan

Oeiras 4: Lautaro Midon vs Benjamin Hassan

56%

Lautaro Midon

$1.4K Vol.

$34.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Bolsonaro.

Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for Bolsonaro that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Brazil Presidential Election”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $76.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Brazil Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Brazil Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 43% chance to Flávio Bolsonaro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Bolsonaro predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.