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Bolsonaro previsões e probabilidades

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Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?

Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?

39%

$1.0K Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

47%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$99M Vol.

$314K today

$8M Liq.

11,274

Ends em 4 meses

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

5%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$4M Vol.

$555K Liq.

41

Ends em 4 meses

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

81%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$381K Vol.

$108K Liq.

116

Ends em 4 meses

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

98%

Giorgia Meloni

$537K Vol.

$122K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

19%

Romeu Zema

$322K Vol.

$271K Liq.

47

Ends em 4 meses

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

37%

Lula da Silva 5-10%

$240K Vol.

$133K Liq.

14

Ends em 4 meses

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

85%

$45.8K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

7

Ends em 2 meses

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

19%

$70.7K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

31

Ends em 4 meses

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

84%

Tarcísio de Freitas

$74.4K Vol.

$120K Liq.

4

Ends em 4 meses

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

40%

Eduardo Pazuello

$1.1K Vol.

$27.4K Liq.

2

Ends em 4 meses

Pará Governor Election Winner

Pará Governor Election Winner

54%

Dr. Daniel Santos

$1.8K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

76%

December 31

$11.8K Vol.

$30.2K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ceará Governor Election Winner

62%

Ciro Gomes

$63.1K Vol.

$59.3K Liq.

11

Ends em 4 meses

Goiás Governor Election Winner

Goiás Governor Election Winner

45%

Daniel Vilela

$300 Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Paraná Governor Election Winner

Paraná Governor Election Winner

80%

Sergio Moro

$1.2K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

1

Ends em 4 meses

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

88%

PL

$15.4K Vol.

$302K Liq.

1

Ends em 4 meses

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

44%

Juliana Brizola

$63.0K Vol.

$53.8K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

ITF Brasilia: Rafael Tosetto vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro

ITF Brasilia: Rafael Tosetto vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro

Joao Victor Couto Loureiro

$211 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

68%

Cleitinho Azevedo

$58.3K Vol.

$127K Liq.

9

Ends em 4 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Bolsonaro.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for Bolsonaro that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $104.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Brazil Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Brazil Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 47% chance to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Bolsonaro predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.