Ciro Gomes leads trader pricing in the Ceará governor race due to his consistent polling advantage over incumbent Elmano de Freitas ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent Datafolha surveys show Ciro at 46% to Elmano's 37% in the initial round and 50% to 42% in a runoff simulation, with the gap narrowing from earlier margins after the official campaign period began. The two dominate the field, as other registered candidates register negligible support. A recent televised debate featured pointed exchanges between the frontrunners, including a visible gesture during discussion of public security and alliances. These dynamics, alongside Ceará's electoral calendar and voter turnout patterns, underpin the current market consensus reflected in the odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 59%
Elmano de Freitas 42%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$234,749 Vol.
$234,749 Vol.
4 out 2026
Ciro Gomes
59%
Elmano de Freitas
42%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Ciro Gomes 59%
Elmano de Freitas 42%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$234,749 Vol.
$234,749 Vol.
4 out 2026
Ciro Gomes
$109,216 Vol.
59%
Elmano de Freitas
$54,653 Vol.
42%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$18,024 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$16,424 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads trader pricing in the Ceará governor race due to his consistent polling advantage over incumbent Elmano de Freitas ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent Datafolha surveys show Ciro at 46% to Elmano's 37% in the initial round and 50% to 42% in a runoff simulation, with the gap narrowing from earlier margins after the official campaign period began. The two dominate the field, as other registered candidates register negligible support. A recent televised debate featured pointed exchanges between the frontrunners, including a visible gesture during discussion of public security and alliances. These dynamics, alongside Ceará's electoral calendar and voter turnout patterns, underpin the current market consensus reflected in the odds.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$234,749Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads trader pricing in the Ceará governor race due to his consistent polling advantage over incumbent Elmano de Freitas ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent Datafolha surveys show Ciro at 46% to Elmano's 37% in the initial round and 50% to 42% in a runoff simulation, with the gap narrowing from earlier margins after the official campaign period began. The two dominate the field, as other registered candidates register negligible support. A recent televised debate featured pointed exchanges between the frontrunners, including a visible gesture during discussion of public security and alliances. These dynamics, alongside Ceará's electoral calendar and voter turnout patterns, underpin the current market consensus reflected in the odds.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$234,749Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes leads trader pricing in the Ceará governor race due to his consistent polling advantage over incumbent Elmano de Freitas ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent Datafolha surveys show Ciro at 46% to Elmano's 37% in the initial round and 50% to 42% in a runoff simulation, with the gap narrowing from earlier margins after the official campaign period began. The two dominate the field, as other registered candidates register negligible support. A recent televised debate featured pointed exchanges between the frontrunners, including a visible gesture during discussion of public security and alliances. These dynamics, alongside Ceará's electoral calendar and voter turnout patterns, underpin the current market consensus reflected in the odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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