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Presidential Election predictions & odds

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Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$532M Vol.

$4M today

$30M Liq.

853

Ends in over 2 years

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

40%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$52M Vol.

$1M today

$4M Liq.

4,463

Ends in 6 months

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

93%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$3M Vol.

$174K today

$478K Liq.

6

Ends in about 1 month

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

42%

Paloma Valencia

$20M Vol.

$147K today

$1M Liq.

370

Ends in 2 months

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

61%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$848K Liq.

66

Ends in over 2 years

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

66%

Keiko Fujimori

$33M Vol.

$2M today

$8M Liq.

3,260

Ends in about 2 months

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Édouard Philippe

$42M Vol.

$1M today

$5M Liq.

407

Ends in about 1 year

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

74%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$3M Vol.

$583K today

$1M Liq.

309

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

71%

Rafael López Aliaga

$638K Vol.

$83.2K today

$376K Liq.

10

Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner

Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner

99%

Keiko Fujimori

$2M Vol.

$62.7K today

$712K Liq.

18

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

81%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

$320K Vol.

$156K Liq.

5

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place

99%

Jorge Nieto

$414K Vol.

$198K Liq.

2

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

93%

70-75%

$142K Vol.

$39.3K Liq.

30

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

66%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$3M Vol.

$252K Liq.

15

Ends in 6 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

42%

Ronaldo Caiado

$200K Vol.

$168K Liq.

23

Ends in 6 months

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

3%

$202K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 2 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

39%

Lula da Silva <5%

$220K Vol.

$134K Liq.

9

Ends in 6 months

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

34%

Fernando Dias da Costa

$295K Vol.

$96.4K Liq.

12

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Bulgaria Presidential Election

42%

Iliana Iotova

$63.6K Vol.

$187K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

42%

December 31

$513K Vol.

$31.1K Liq.

7

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Presidential Election.

Polymarket currently hosts 292 active markets for Presidential Election that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Presidential Election Winner 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $695.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Presidential Election predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.