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Parliament predictions & odds

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Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

48%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$53.4K Liq.

30

Ends in about 1 month

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

9%

$52.4K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

35%

$106 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?

Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?

9%

$1.3K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

63%

United Russia (ER)

$8M Vol.

$121K today

$454K Liq.

190

Ends in 4 months

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

6%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$532K Vol.

$168K Liq.

14

Ends in 14 days

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

96%

United Russia (ER)

$1M Vol.

$196K Liq.

12

Ends in 4 months

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

28%

LPV

$78.8K Vol.

$111K Liq.

6

Ends in 5 months

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

94%

AfD

$700K Vol.

$65.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

91%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M Vol.

$96.8K Liq.

8

Ends in 4 months

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

61%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$16.2K Vol.

$74.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

84%

$33.5K Vol.

$43 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

88%

No election before 2027

$18.4K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

7

Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

33%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

$814 Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

87%

AfD

$214K Vol.

$131K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

44%

53-56%

$564 Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

93%

CDU

$47.4K Vol.

$84.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

93%

Civil Contract

$191K Vol.

$280K Liq.

10

Ends in 21 days

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

47%

Labour Party 5-10%

$4.9K Vol.

$53.1K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Malta Parliamentary Election Winner

Malta Parliamentary Election Winner

93%

Labour Party

$69.8K Vol.

$99.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 13 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Parliament.

Polymarket currently hosts 135 active markets for Parliament that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israeli parliament dissolved by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $13.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 63% chance to United Russia (ER). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Parliament predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.