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Fired predictions & odds

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Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

1%

$413K Vol.

$37.6K Liq.

29

Ends in 14 days

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

7%

$3.5K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

8%

Dong Jun

$157K Vol.

$107K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

82%

June 30

$28.7K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

76%

$21.4K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

19%

December 31

$15.2K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Chirayu Rana sued?

Chirayu Rana sued?

70%

$186K Vol.

$42.2K Liq.

58

Ends in 8 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

17%

$20.0K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

4%

$1M Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

11

Ends in about 1 month

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

18%

$15.7K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

12

Ends in 14 days

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

80%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.4K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

10

Valorant: Joblife vs Ghools Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group D

Valorant: Joblife vs Ghools Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group D

67%

Joblife

$2.3K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

68%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$85.4K Liq.

121

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

65%

$262 Vol.

$71 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

93%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$941 Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

52%

Starmer - UK PM

$356K Vol.

$247K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

36%

Baby

$10.9K Vol.

$999 Liq.

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

19%

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$692K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

20

Ends in 8 months

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

28%

5.0%

$389K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Fired.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Fired that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Kash Patel out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Kash Patel out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 68% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Fired predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.