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Fired predictions & odds

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Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

4%

$487K Vol.

$17.0K Liq.

10

Ends in 2 months

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

41%

June 30

$109K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

54

Ends in 2 months

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

7%

$1.4K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

17%

Dong Jun

$126K Vol.

$153K Liq.

14

Ends in 9 months

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

85%

$21.3K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?

Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?

17%

$13.5K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

93%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$5M Vol.

$141K today

$436K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

97%

Up

$8.7K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

7%

$8.4K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

5

Ends in about 1 month

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

61%

December 31

$254K Vol.

$61.4K Liq.

12

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

25%

Tim Cook - Apple

$590K Vol.

$60.6K Liq.

18

Ends in 9 months

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

45%

5.0%

$358K Vol.

$22.1K Liq.

13

Ends in 9 months

Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?

Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?

16%

$218 Vol.

$558 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?

16%

$7.1K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

15%

$59.2K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

25

Ends in 9 months

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

12%

$17.3K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

9

Ends in 9 months

Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?

Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?

49%

$5.8K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?

Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?

47%

$2.2K Vol.

$80 Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

UEFA Europa Conference League: Most Red Cards

UEFA Europa Conference League: Most Red Cards

57%

Joseph Mbong

$5.8K Vol.

$201 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

UEFA Europa League: Most Red Cards

UEFA Europa League: Most Red Cards

38%

Maximilian Eggestein

$76.3K Vol.

$110 Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Fired.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Fired that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next leader out of power before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next leader out of power before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 93% chance to Orbán - Hungary PM. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Fired predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.