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Kash Patel out by...?

Market icon

Kash Patel out by...?

$217,489 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$217,489 Vol.

Polymarket

April 30

$98,838 Vol.

16%

June 30

$47,099 Vol.

35%

December 31

$28,962 Vol.

63%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kash Patel, confirmed as FBI Director in a narrow 51-49 Senate vote on February 20, 2025, has overseen aggressive personnel changes, including the dismissal of agents linked to prior Trump investigations like the Steele dossier and Mueller probe, drawing Democratic criticism and accusations of purges from figures like Sen. Dick Durbin. Recent rumors, amplified after President Trump's ousting of Attorney General Pam Bondi last week, speculate Patel could be next amid reported internal tensions and a deepening probe into his conduct, though the White House has denied similar claims before and he remains in post. Trader sentiment reflects concerns over his job security in a fluid administration, with no scheduled Senate votes but potential congressional hearings on FBI actions looming.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$217,489
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kash Patel, confirmed as FBI Director in a narrow 51-49 Senate vote on February 20, 2025, has overseen aggressive personnel changes, including the dismissal of agents linked to prior Trump investigations like the Steele dossier and Mueller probe, drawing Democratic criticism and accusations of purges from figures like Sen. Dick Durbin. Recent rumors, amplified after President Trump's ousting of Attorney General Pam Bondi last week, speculate Patel could be next amid reported internal tensions and a deepening probe into his conduct, though the White House has denied similar claims before and he remains in post. Trader sentiment reflects concerns over his job security in a fluid administration, with no scheduled Senate votes but potential congressional hearings on FBI actions looming.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$217,489
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kash Patel out by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 63%, followed by "June 30" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kash Patel out by...?" has generated $217.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kash Patel out by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kash Patel out by...?" is "December 31" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 30" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kash Patel out by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.