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Adam22 predictions & odds

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Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

6%

$12.3K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Jack Doherty Prison Time?

Jack Doherty Prison Time?

59%

No Prison Time

$18.9K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

8

Ends in 6 months

IA-02 House Election Winner

IA-02 House Election Winner

50%

Republican Party

$1.7K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

GA-02 House Election Winner

GA-02 House Election Winner

82%

Democratic Party

$12.0K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)

54%

Kai Asakura

$142 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

67%

$557K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$125 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

MT-02 House Election Winner

MT-02 House Election Winner

93%

Republican Party

$9.3K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (May 15)

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (May 15)

93%

Anthropic

$505 Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

NE-02 House Election Winner

NE-02 House Election Winner

82%

Democratic Party

$27.5K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NY-02 House Election Winner

NY-02 House Election Winner

74%

Republican Party

$6.9K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

4%

$9.5K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

19%

$1.3K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

NY-23 House Election Winner

NY-23 House Election Winner

80%

Republican Party

$6.8K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NC-02 House Election Winner

NC-02 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$7.6K Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)

79%

Cody Haddon

$140 Vol.

$310 Liq.

Ends in 18 days

NC-11 House Election Winner

NC-11 House Election Winner

54%

Democratic Party

$810 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

MO-02 House Election Winner

MO-02 House Election Winner

79%

Republican Party

$5.4K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

OR-02 House Election Winner

OR-02 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$3.8K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

9%

$79.9K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

10

Ends in 11 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Adam22.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for Adam22 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $783K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “NE-02 House Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 67% chance to Yes. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Adam22 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.