Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 57%

Kevin Hassett 16%

Christopher Waller 14.4%

Rick Rieder 8.8%

$205,753,456 Vol

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh
$6,284,313 Vol.
57%

Kevin Hassett
$11,221,783 Vol.
16%

Christopher Waller
$5,031,345 Vol.
14%

Rick Rieder
$4,702,893 Vol.
9%

Judy Shelton
$5,521,184 Vol.
1%

Scott Bessent
$5,139,071 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$4,391,479 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$4,322,139 Vol.
1%

David Malpass
$3,340,407 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$7,426,178 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$3,116,798 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,254,488 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$1,914,215 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$12,564,034 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,928,202 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,207,600 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,015,671 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,252,263 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$2,939,201 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$1,972,330 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$7,814,519 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,574,254 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,604,791 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$18,662,848 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,546,446 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Volume

$205,753,456

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 57%

Kevin Hassett 16%

Christopher Waller 14.4%

Rick Rieder 8.8%

$205,753,456 Vol

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$6,284,313 Vol.

57%

Kevin Hassett

$11,221,783 Vol.

16%

Christopher Waller

$5,031,345 Vol.

14%

Rick Rieder

$4,702,893 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$5,521,184 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$5,139,071 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$4,391,479 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$4,322,139 Vol.

David Malpass

$3,340,407 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$7,426,178 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$3,116,798 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,254,488 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$1,914,215 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$12,564,034 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,928,202 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,207,600 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,015,671 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,252,263 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$2,939,201 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,972,330 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$7,814,519 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,574,254 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,604,791 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$18,662,848 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,546,446 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$205,753,456

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh
$6,284,313 Vol.
57%

Kevin Hassett
$11,221,783 Vol.
16%

Christopher Waller
$5,031,345 Vol.
14%

Rick Rieder
$4,702,893 Vol.
9%

Judy Shelton
$5,521,184 Vol.
1%

Scott Bessent
$5,139,071 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$4,391,479 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$4,322,139 Vol.
1%

David Malpass
$3,340,407 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$7,426,178 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$3,116,798 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,254,488 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$1,914,215 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$12,564,034 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,928,202 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,207,600 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,015,671 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,252,263 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$2,939,201 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$1,972,330 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$7,814,519 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,574,254 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,604,791 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$18,662,848 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,546,446 Vol.
<1%

Market Context