Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 60%

Kevin Hassett 16%

Christopher Waller 13.4%

Rick Rieder 8.3%

$195,702,808 Vol

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh
$5,546,601 Vol.
60%

Kevin Hassett
$10,137,571 Vol.
16%

Christopher Waller
$4,405,550 Vol.
13%

Rick Rieder
$4,146,163 Vol.
8%

Michelle Bowman
$3,965,226 Vol.
1%

Scott Bessent
$4,745,558 Vol.
1%

Judy Shelton
$4,929,708 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$3,958,911 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$6,346,640 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$2,797,039 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,198,988 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$3,224,577 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$1,855,993 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$10,849,862 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,908,202 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,197,600 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,015,671 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,137,429 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$2,939,149 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$1,972,330 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$6,143,356 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,574,254 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,598,791 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$18,627,189 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,475,446 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Volume

$195,702,808

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 60%

Kevin Hassett 16%

Christopher Waller 13.4%

Rick Rieder 8.3%

$195,702,808 Vol

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$5,546,601 Vol.

60%

Kevin Hassett

$10,137,571 Vol.

16%

Christopher Waller

$4,405,550 Vol.

13%

Rick Rieder

$4,146,163 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$3,965,226 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$4,745,558 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$4,929,708 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$3,958,911 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$6,346,640 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$2,797,039 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,198,988 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$3,224,577 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$1,855,993 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$10,849,862 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,908,202 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,197,600 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,015,671 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,137,429 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$2,939,149 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,972,330 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$6,143,356 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,574,254 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,598,791 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$18,627,189 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,475,446 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$195,702,808

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

47%

Will 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

37%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

98%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh
$5,546,601 Vol.
60%

Kevin Hassett
$10,137,571 Vol.
16%

Christopher Waller
$4,405,550 Vol.
13%

Rick Rieder
$4,146,163 Vol.
8%

Michelle Bowman
$3,965,226 Vol.
1%

Scott Bessent
$4,745,558 Vol.
1%

Judy Shelton
$4,929,708 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$3,958,911 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$6,346,640 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$2,797,039 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,198,988 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$3,224,577 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$1,855,993 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$10,849,862 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,908,202 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,197,600 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,015,671 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,137,429 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$2,939,149 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$1,972,330 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$6,143,356 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,574,254 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,598,791 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$18,627,189 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,475,446 Vol.
<1%

Market Context