The Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board unanimously decided on April 10, 2026, to maintain its base rate at 2.50% unchanged—the seventh consecutive hold since July 2025—cementing Polymarket's trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for No Change amid balanced economic risks. Elevated inflation pressures from Middle East tensions, including the Iran war and oil price surges, were offset by growth slowdown concerns, won depreciation, and a large February current account surplus, with March CPI ticking up to 2.2% year-over-year below forecasts. This aligns with prior neutral guidance and unanimous economist polls expecting steady rates through 2026. Realistic challenges would require unforeseen escalation in persistent energy shocks prompting an emergency reversal ahead of the May 28 meeting, though none are signaled.