The Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board unanimously decided on April 10, 2026, to maintain its base rate at 2.50% unchanged—the seventh consecutive hold since July 2025—cementing Polymarket's trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for No Change amid balanced economic risks. Elevated inflation pressures from Middle East tensions, including the Iran war and oil price surges, were offset by growth slowdown concerns, won depreciation, and a large February current account surplus, with March CPI ticking up to 2.2% year-over-year below forecasts. This aligns with prior neutral guidance and unanimous economist polls expecting steady rates through 2026. Realistic challenges would require unforeseen escalation in persistent energy shocks prompting an emergency reversal ahead of the May 28 meeting, though none are signaled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBank of Korea decision in April?
Bank of Korea decision in April?
No Change 100.0%
Decrease <1%
Increase <1%
$153,943 Vol.
$153,943 Vol.
Decrease
No
No Change
Yes
Increase
No
No Change 100.0%
Decrease <1%
Increase <1%
$153,943 Vol.
$153,943 Vol.
Decrease
No
No Change
Yes
Increase
No
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Jan 15, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board unanimously decided on April 10, 2026, to maintain its base rate at 2.50% unchanged—the seventh consecutive hold since July 2025—cementing Polymarket's trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for No Change amid balanced economic risks. Elevated inflation pressures from Middle East tensions, including the Iran war and oil price surges, were offset by growth slowdown concerns, won depreciation, and a large February current account surplus, with March CPI ticking up to 2.2% year-over-year below forecasts. This aligns with prior neutral guidance and unanimous economist polls expecting steady rates through 2026. Realistic challenges would require unforeseen escalation in persistent energy shocks prompting an emergency reversal ahead of the May 28 meeting, though none are signaled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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