xAI 100.0%
Google <1%
OpenAI <1%
Z.ai <1%
$149,348 Vol.
$149,348 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026

No

OpenAI
No

Z.ai
No

DeepSeek
No

Mistral
No

Anthropic
No

Alibaba
No

xAI
Yes

Moonshot
No

Meituan
No
xAI 100.0%
Google <1%
OpenAI <1%
Z.ai <1%
$149,348 Vol.
$149,348 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026

$18,989 Vol.
No

OpenAI
$17,085 Vol.
No

Z.ai
$11,093 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$12,740 Vol.
No

Mistral
$7,604 Vol.
No

Anthropic
$13,211 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$10,548 Vol.
No

xAI
$30,456 Vol.
Yes

Moonshot
$18,304 Vol.
No

Meituan
$9,317 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Market Opened: Dec 2, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$149,348End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No



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