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Portugal Presidential Election

$69,816,136 Vol.

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 64%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 22%

André Ventura (CH) 6.6%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 5.0%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$69,816,136
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
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$69,816,136 Vol.

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 64%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 22%

André Ventura (CH) 6.6%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 5.0%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$594,092 Vol.

64%

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$279,588 Vol.

22%

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André Ventura (CH)

$818,743 Vol.

7%

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$295,563 Vol.

5%

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António José Seguro (IND)

$276,317 Vol.

4%

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$3,677,775 Vol.

<1%

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$4,153,607 Vol.

<1%

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$13,788,179 Vol.

<1%

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Jorge Pinto

$4,778,787 Vol.

<1%

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$461,424 Vol.

<1%

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$549,263 Vol.

<1%

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$230,138 Vol.

<1%

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$173,290 Vol.

<1%

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André Pestana (IND)

$1,636,140 Vol.

<1%

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$513,134 Vol.

<1%

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$7,813,963 Vol.

<1%

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,239,382 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$5,436,624 Vol.

<1%

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$3,608,049 Vol.

<1%

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$4,471,448 Vol.

<1%

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António Filipe (PCP)

$4,990,544 Vol.

<1%

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,030,536 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$69,816,136
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.