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Portugal Presidential Election

$73,304,841 Vol.

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 66%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 20%

André Ventura (CH) 6.5%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 5.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$73,304,841
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
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$73,304,841 Vol.

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 66%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 20%

André Ventura (CH) 6.5%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 5.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$651,341 Vol.

66%

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$297,003 Vol.

20%

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André Ventura (CH)

$879,606 Vol.

6%

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$341,033 Vol.

5%

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António José Seguro (IND)

$306,736 Vol.

4%

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$13,798,507 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$3,683,288 Vol.

<1%

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Jorge Pinto

$4,785,216 Vol.

<1%

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$3,202,352 Vol.

<1%

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$552,043 Vol.

<1%

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$230,138 Vol.

<1%

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$175,060 Vol.

<1%

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$4,155,375 Vol.

<1%

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André Pestana (IND)

$1,653,207 Vol.

<1%

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$519,834 Vol.

<1%

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$7,813,963 Vol.

<1%

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,239,958 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$5,436,917 Vol.

<1%

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$3,608,346 Vol.

<1%

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$4,472,935 Vol.

<1%

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António Filipe (PCP)

$5,462,291 Vol.

<1%

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,039,693 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$73,304,841
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.